Petroleos Do Lobito vs FC Luanda
Match details. Girabola, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Petroleos Do Lobito are 16th on 2 points after 7 games, 2 points behind Sporting de Cabinda. A win would take them above Sporting de Cabinda. FC Luanda are 14th on 4 points after 7 games, 2 points behind Kabuscorp, level on points with Sporting de Cabinda. A win would take them above Kabuscorp.
Form. Petroleos Do Lobito have won none, drawn four and lost six of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L. FC Luanda have won one, drawn one and lost five of their last seven, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. In this competition FC Luanda have gone L L L L W L.
The numbers. Petroleos Do Lobito score 0.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Petroleos Do Lobito average 4.9 shots (1.5 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game. FC Luanda score 0.9 and concede 1.7 a game over their last seven, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. FC Luanda average 9.7 shots (2.9 on target), 5.4 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Luanda or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Luanda or Draw (1UP) (no result call). Predicted score: Petroleos Do Lobito 1-1 FC Luanda (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).