Match details. Druga NL, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. NK Lucko are 14th on 9 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Hrvatski Dragovoljac, 1 point clear of Varteks Varaždin. A win would take them above Hrvatski Dragovoljac. NK Grobnican are 12th on 11 points after 9 games, level on points with Križevci, 1 point clear of Hrvatski Dragovoljac. A win would take them above Križevci.
Form. NK Lucko have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. NK Grobnican have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L W.
The numbers. NK Lucko score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. NK Lucko average 10.8 shots (3.8 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.2 cards a game. NK Grobnican score 1.7 and concede two a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. NK Grobnican average 9.0 shots (3.9 on target), 3.0 corners and 1.1 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last two meetings NK Lucko have won one, drawn one and lost none. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 9 May 2026, it finished NK Lucko 2-2 NK Grobnican.
The case against. NK Lucko's record still gives them 32% to win.
The read. NK Grobnican to win. An open game. NK Grobnican are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour NK Grobnican. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: NK Lucko or Over 2.5 Goals (the call backs NK Grobnican); NK Lucko or Over 1.5 Goals (the call backs NK Grobnican); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: NK Lucko 1-2 NK Grobnican (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).