KS Burreli vs FK Kukesi
Match details. Kategoria e Pare, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Liri Ballabani Stadium, Burrel.
What's at stake. KS Burreli are 10th on 6 points after 6 games, 2 points behind Korabi Peshkopi, level on points with Sopoti Librazhd. A win would take them above Korabi Peshkopi. FK Kukesi are 5th on 9 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Besa Kavajë, level on points with Iliria Fushë-Krujë. A win would take them above Besa Kavajë.
Form. KS Burreli have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W L. FK Kukesi have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W L.
The numbers. KS Burreli score 1.2 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. KS Burreli average 5.6 shots (2.0 on target), 2.0 corners and 1.9 cards a game. FK Kukesi score 1.6 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. FK Kukesi average 9.2 shots (4.4 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.5 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last eight meetings KS Burreli have won four, drawn two and lost two. Three of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. In the last four, KS Burreli won two, one was drawn and FK Kukesi won one. The last time they met, on 14 Mar 2026, it finished KS Burreli 0-0 FK Kukesi.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make FK Kukesi the likelier winners, but FK Kukesi are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour KS Burreli. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%; five of the last eight meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. FK Kukesi's record still gives them 38% to win.
The read. KS Burreli to win. Their goals for and against make FK Kukesi the likelier winners; FK Kukesi are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour KS Burreli.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FK Kukesi Under 1.5 goals (FK Kukesi's own games don't back it (4 of 9)); Under 4.5 Goals (KS Burreli are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (KS Burreli are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: KS Burreli 2-1 FK Kukesi (7% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).