Besa Kavaje vs Korabi Peshkopi
Match details. Kategoria e Pare, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Besa Kavaje are 4th on 10 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Bylis, 1 point clear of FK Kukesi. A win would take them above Bylis. Korabi Peshkopi are 9th on 8 points after 6 games, level on points with Kastrioti Krujë, 2 points clear of Burreli. A win would take them above Kastrioti Krujë.
Form. Besa Kavaje have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W. Korabi Peshkopi have won three, drawn five and lost two of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W L D.
The numbers. Besa Kavaje score 2.2 and concede one a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and two games without a goal. Besa Kavaje average 13.7 shots (5.8 on target), 5.1 corners and 2.4 cards a game. Korabi Peshkopi score 0.9 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Korabi Peshkopi average 7.8 shots (2.3 on target), 3.8 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Besa Kavaje have won four, drawn three and lost two. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. In the last four, Besa Kavaje won two and two were drawn. The last time they met, on 25 Apr 2026, it finished Besa Kavaje 1-1 Korabi Peshkopi.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 71% against the records' 42%.
The read. No firm call: Besa Kavaje are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Besa Kavaje the likelier winners; Besa Kavaje are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Besa Kavaje. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%. Seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.35, 83% on the records (Besa Kavaje: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 9; Korabi Peshkopi: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 9). Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Besa Kavaje 1-1 Korabi Peshkopi (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).