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HONG KONG, CHINA - SENIOR SHIELD
Tai Po FC crestTPTAI
12:00Sat 24 Oct
KITKitchee crestKIT

Tai Po FC vs Kitchee

CLASS D
THE READ

Match details. Senior Shield, Quarter-finals. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Tai Po Sports Ground, Hongkong.

What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.

Form. Tai Po FC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D W L. Kitchee have won five, drawn four and lost one of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L D.

The numbers. Tai Po FC score 2.1 and concede 1.4 a game in their last seven at home, with no clean sheets. Tai Po FC average 12.0 shots (5.0 on target), 5.9 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Kitchee score 2.2 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet. Kitchee average 12.6 shots (4.7 on target), 5.6 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings Tai Po FC have won four, drawn one and lost three. Five of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Tai Po FC won two, one was drawn and Kitchee won one. The last time they met, on 2 May 2026, it finished Tai Po FC 3-0 Kitchee.

The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%. Five of the last eight meetings went over 2.5.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Kitchee or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Kitchee or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Tai Po FC 1-2 Kitchee (8% chance).

PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TAI 5 of 5 (100%) · KIT 6 of 7 (86%)94.6%
Tai Po FC: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Kitchee: over 0.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 6 of 6 · Tai Po FC: only games against sides at Kitchee's level · Kitchee: only games against sides at Tai Po FC's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TAI 5 of 5 (100%) · KIT 6 of 7 (86%)90.5%
Tai Po FC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Kitchee: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · H2H 5 of 6 · Tai Po FC: only games against sides at Kitchee's level · Kitchee: only games against sides at Tai Po FC's level
Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
1.49
TAI 4 of 5 (80%) · KIT 6 of 7 (86%)77.1%
Tai Po FC: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Kitchee: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · H2H 4 of 6 · Tai Po FC: only games against sides at Kitchee's level · Kitchee: only games against sides at Tai Po FC's level
BOTH TEAMS SCORE
Both Teams to Score - YesPAGE ONLY
1.42
TAI 5 of 5 (100%) · KIT 5 of 7 (71%)74.7%
Tai Po FC: both scored in 5 of 5 at home · Kitchee: both scored in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · H2H 3 of 6 · Tai Po FC: only games against sides at Kitchee's level · Kitchee: only games against sides at Tai Po FC's level
TAI PO FC GOALS
Tai Po FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TAI 5 of 5 (100%) · KIT 5 of 7 (71%)87.2%
Tai Po FC scored in 5 of 5 at home · Kitchee conceded in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 77% · H2H 6 of 6 · Tai Po FC: only games against sides at Kitchee's level · Kitchee: only games against sides at Tai Po FC's level
KITCHEE GOALS
Kitchee Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TAI 6 of 7 (86%) · KIT 5 of 5 (100%)82.1%
Kitchee scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tai Po FC conceded in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 93% · H2H 3 of 6 · Kitchee: only games against sides at Tai Po FC's level · Tai Po FC: only games against sides at Kitchee's level
HALVES
1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
TAI 5 of 5 (100%) · KIT 6 of 7 (86%)84.2%
Tai Po FC: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Kitchee: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Tai Po FC: only games against sides at Kitchee's level · Kitchee: only games against sides at Tai Po FC's level
Left off the list: Kitchee or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Kitchee or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Kitchee or Over 1.5 Goals (no result call)
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–2 8.2%
Tai Po FC goals →
Kitchee goals ↓
0-04%
1-05%
2-05%
3-03%
4-01%
5-00.4%
0-15%
1-110%
2-18%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.7%
0-25%
1-28%
2-27%
3-24%
4-22%
5-20.6%
0-33%
1-35%
2-34%
3-32%
4-31.0%
5-30.3%
0-41%
1-42%
2-42%
3-41%
4-40.4%
5-40.1%
0-50.4%
1-50.7%
2-50.6%
3-50.4%
4-50.2%
5-50.1%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10
TAI PO FCWLWWLLWDLW1.60 PPG
KITCHEEDWDWWDLWDW1.90 PPG
THE NUMBERS
TAI PO FC HOMExKITCHEE AWAY
1.80SCORED A GAME2.501.60CONCEDED A GAME1.3010%CLEAN SHEETS30%17%FAILED TO SCORE17%5.90CORNERS A GAME5.561.80CARDS A GAME2.33
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.67POINTS A GAME2.67+0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+2.33+2.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+6.02.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.66LEAGUE GAMES6
Kitchee: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
74%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
45%
NO · 85/90
TAI PO FC OR DRAW
55%
NO · 80/85
KITCHEE OR DRAW
71%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
TAI PO FCxKITCHEE
5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME3.201.60CONCEDED A GAME0.604.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%100%BOTH SCORE60%3.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.811.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.2
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8
TAI PO FC 4 · 50%DRAW 1KITCHEE 3 · 38%
4 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED
6 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS
5 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS
2 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS
2024-10-19Tai Po FC 1 – 0 Kitchee
2024-10-26Tai Po FC 1 – 3 Kitchee
2024-12-15Tai Po FC 3 – 0 Kitchee
2025-01-26Tai Po FC 1 – 2 Kitchee
2025-05-17Tai Po FC 1 – 0 Kitchee
2025-10-18Tai Po FC 1 – 1 Kitchee
2026-01-25Tai Po FC 2 – 4 Kitchee
2026-05-02Tai Po FC 3 – 0 Kitchee
TRENDS
Tai Po FC have scored in 70% of their games.
Kitchee have scored in 70% of their games.
Tai Po FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Kitchee kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headcornerscards
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