Match details. Liga Portugal, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estádio da Madeira, Funchal. The referee is Jose Bessa.
What's at stake. Nacional da Madeira are 17th on 4 points after 8 games, 3 points behind Casa Pia, 2 points clear of Estoril. A win would take them level on points with Casa Pia. Braga are 9th on 11 points after 8 games, level on points with Alverca, 1 point clear of Estrela. A win would take them above Alverca.
Form. Nacional da Madeira have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. Braga have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D.
The numbers. Nacional da Madeira score 1.4 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. Nacional da Madeira average 9.0 shots (3.3 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 50% of the ball. Braga score 0.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Braga average 11.6 shots (4.7 on target), 4.5 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 58% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Nacional da Madeira have won one, drawn one and lost eight. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, Nacional da Madeira won one and Braga won three. The last time they met, on 28 Feb 2026, it finished Nacional da Madeira 1-2 Braga: Nacional da Madeira had 14 shots to 20, 37% of the ball, five yellow cards.
The case against. Nacional da Madeira's record still gives them 33% to win.
The read. Braga to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Braga the likelier winners; Braga are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Braga; the meetings favour Braga. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 60%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Braga 1UP at 1.32, 75% on the records (Braga scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4; led in 6 of 7). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Nacional da Madeira 1-2 Braga (10% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Braga (Draw No Bet)IN CODES
1.23
NAC 3 of 6 (50%) · BRA 3 of 5 (60%)88.5%
Braga won 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Nacional da Madeira lost 3 of 5 at home (draws left out) · both last 10: 62% · H2H 5 of 6 · Braga: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at Braga's level · won 4, refunded 2, lost 4
Braga or Draw (1UP)IN CODES
1.10
NAC 5 of 5 (100%) · BRA 7 of 7 (100%)86.7%
Braga scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 5 · led or was unbeaten in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nacional da Madeira trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 at home · Braga: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at Braga's level
Braga or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
NAC 6 of 7 (86%) · BRA 5 of 5 (100%)85.2%
Braga: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nacional da Madeira: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · both last 10: 93% · H2H 5 of 6 · Braga: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at Braga's level
Braga win or both teams scoreIN CODES
1.13
NAC 6 of 7 (86%) · BRA 3 of 5 (60%)78.8%
Braga: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nacional da Madeira: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 82% · H2H 5 of 6 · Braga: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at Braga's level
Braga 1UPMAININ CODES
1.32
NAC 4 of 5 (80%) · BRA 6 of 7 (86%)75.2%
Braga scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4 · led in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nacional da Madeira trailed in 3 of 5 at home · Braga: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at Braga's level
Braga to Win Either Half: YesPAGE ONLY
1.28
NAC 5 of 7 (71%) · BRA 3 of 5 (60%)71%
Braga: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nacional da Madeira: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 69% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Braga: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at Braga's level
1st Half Result or Match Result: BragaPAGE ONLY
1.30
NAC 5 of 7 (71%) · BRA 3 of 5 (60%)71%
Braga: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nacional da Madeira: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 69% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · Braga: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at Braga's level
Braga or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANHELD · the odds board 79%
1.26
NAC 6 of 7 (86%) · BRA 3 of 5 (60%)58.9%
Braga: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nacional da Madeira: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 82% · H2H 5 of 6 · Braga: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at Braga's level
GOALS
Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES
1.30
NAC 5 of 5 (100%) · BRA 4 of 7 (57%)73.5%
Nacional da Madeira: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Braga: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 73% · H2H 4 of 6 · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at Braga's level · Braga: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level
BRAGA GOALS
Braga Over 0.5 goalsIN CODES
1.15
NAC 6 of 7 (86%) · BRA 3 of 5 (60%)82.2%
Braga scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Nacional da Madeira conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 82% · H2H 5 of 6 · Braga: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at Braga's level
HALVES
1st Half - GG/NG: NoPAGE ONLY
1.17
NAC 4 of 5 (80%) · BRA 6 of 7 (86%)85.5%
Nacional da Madeira: the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · Braga: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 76% · H2H 6 of 6 · on half-time scores · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at Braga's level · Braga: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level
2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY
1.26
NAC 5 of 5 (100%) · BRA 6 of 7 (86%)83.5%
Nacional da Madeira: the bet landed in 5 of 5 at home · Braga: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at Braga's level · Braga: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level
Under 2.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY
1.11
NAC 3 of 5 (60%) · BRA 7 of 7 (100%)77.5%
Nacional da Madeira: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Braga: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at Braga's level · Braga: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.46
NAC 2 of 5 (40%) · BRA 6 of 7 (86%)64.4%
Nacional da Madeira: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · Braga: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65% · H2H 4 of 6 · on half-time scores · Nacional da Madeira: only games against sides at Braga's level · Braga: only games against sides at Nacional da Madeira's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–29.9%
Nacional da Madeira goals →
Braga goals ↓
0-07%
1-05%
2-03%
3-00.8%
4-00.2%
5-00.0%
0-111%
1-111%
2-15%
3-11%
4-10.3%
5-10.1%
0-211%
1-210%
2-25%
3-21%
4-20.3%
5-20.1%
0-37%
1-36%
2-33%
3-30.9%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-43%
1-43%
2-41%
3-40.4%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-51%
1-51%
2-50.5%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
NACIONAL DA MADEIRAWDWLLLLLLL0.70 PPG
BRAGADWWLWDLLLW1.40 PPG
THE NUMBERS
NACIONAL DA MADEIRA HOMExBRAGA AWAY
1.10SCORED A GAME0.901.90CONCEDED A GAME1.1020%CLEAN SHEETS50%38%FAILED TO SCORE12%4.50CORNERS A GAME4.501.80CARDS A GAME1.801.15xG1.291.89xG AGAINST0.83
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
0.00POINTS A GAME1.38-1.83GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.12-3.8SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+2.20.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.86LEAGUE GAMES8
Braga: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
BRAGA 0:2 HANDICAP
–
54 OF 60
NO PRICE YET
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
74%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
67%
OKAY · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
91%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
NACIONAL DA MADEIRA OR DRAW
42%
NO · 80/85
BRAGA OR DRAW
83%
OKAY · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
NACIONAL DA MADEIRAxBRAGA
5GAMES51.00SCORED A GAME0.803.00CONCEDED A GAME1.404.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE60%3.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–9.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 10
NACIONAL DA MADEIRA 1 · 10%DRAW 1BRAGA 8 · 80%
6 of 10BOTH TEAMS SCORED
8 of 10OVER 1.5 GOALS
8 of 10OVER 2.5 GOALS
4 of 10OVER 3.5 GOALS
2020-10-17Nacional da Madeira 1 – 2 Braga
2021-02-28Nacional da Madeira 1 – 2 Braga
2023-04-12Nacional da Madeira 0 – 5 Braga
2023-04-25Nacional da Madeira 2 – 2 Braga
2023-12-22Nacional da Madeira 1 – 3 Braga
2024-09-20Nacional da Madeira 0 – 3 Braga
2025-02-21Nacional da Madeira 0 – 1 Braga
2025-09-28Nacional da Madeira 1 – 0 Braga
TRENDS
Nacional da Madeira have scored in 60% of their games.
Braga have scored in 70% of their games.
Nacional da Madeira kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.
Braga kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAclean sheetshead to headleague tableteam newscornerscards