Sparta Rotterdam vs Ajax
Match details. Eredivisie, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:45 Lagos time. It is played at Sparta Stadium Het Kasteel, Rotterdam. The referee is Danny Makkelie.
What's at stake. Sparta Rotterdam are 14th on 9 points after 9 games, 1 point behind NEC Nijmegen, 1 point clear of PEC Zwolle. A win would take them above NEC Nijmegen. Ajax are 4th on 18 points after 9 games, 1 point behind PSV Eindhoven, 1 point clear of Twente. A win would take them above PSV Eindhoven.
Team news. Sparta Rotterdam are without S. Mito (injury), S. Mito (injury). Ajax are without S. Adingra (lacking match fitness), Caio Henrique (thigh injury), K. Dolberg (knee injury), O. Edvardsen (inactive), A. Gaaei (injury), S. Berghuis (injury). S. Berghuis is their main creator.
Form. Sparta Rotterdam have won two, drawn three and lost four of their last nine, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L D. In this competition Sparta Rotterdam have gone W D L L D L. Ajax have won five, drawn three and lost one of their last nine, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W W. In this competition Ajax have gone W D D W W L.
The numbers. Sparta Rotterdam score 1.6 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Sparta Rotterdam average 15.2 shots (5.8 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 45% of the ball. Ajax score three and concede 1.3 a game over their last nine, with two clean sheets. Ajax average 22.5 shots (8.1 on target), 6.8 corners and 2.1 cards a game, with 61% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Sparta Rotterdam have won none, drawn three and lost seven. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, two were drawn and Ajax won two. The last time they met, on 14 Mar 2026, it finished Sparta Rotterdam 0-4 Ajax: Sparta Rotterdam had 8 shots to 22, 42% of the ball, two yellow cards.
The case against. Ajax without S. Berghuis (creator).
The read. Ajax or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make Ajax the likelier winners; Ajax are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ajax; the meetings favour Ajax. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%. Six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Ajax to win at 1.47, 88% on the records (the tipsters read Ajax as a clear winner (5 scores) and Ajax are 1.0 points a game better this season - 21 of 24 games like this were won). Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (Ajax are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 4.5 Goals (Ajax are a clear winner, no Unders); 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Sparta Rotterdam 1-2 Ajax (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).