Match details. Eredivisie, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion de Goffert, Nijmegen. The referee is Martin Van den Kerkhof.
What's at stake. NEC Nijmegen are 13th on 10 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Excelsior, 1 point clear of Sparta Rotterdam. A win would take them above Excelsior. FC Groningen are 8th on 14 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Heerenveen, level on points with GO Ahead Eagles. A win would take them above Heerenveen.
Team news. NEC Nijmegen are without B. Nuytinck (ankle injury), P. Sandler (injury), D. Tadic (calf injury), E. Mor (groin injury), Y. Moslih (inactive), B. Nuytinck (ankle injury). FC Groningen are without M. Jeng (leg injury), T. Mercera (injury), E. van der Laan (injury), M. Jeng (leg injury), T. Mercera (injury), E. van der Laan (injury).
Form. NEC Nijmegen have won two, drawn five and lost three of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D D. FC Groningen have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W D D.
The numbers. NEC Nijmegen score 1.4 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. NEC Nijmegen average 11.3 shots (4.2 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.5 cards a game, with 59% of the ball. FC Groningen score 2.2 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. FC Groningen average 10.1 shots (4.9 on target), 4.0 corners and 1.3 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings NEC Nijmegen have won five, drawn one and lost three. Six of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, NEC Nijmegen won two and FC Groningen won two. The last time they met, on 10 May 2026, it finished NEC Nijmegen 1-2 FC Groningen: NEC Nijmegen had 12 shots to 11, 50% of the ball, three yellow cards.
The read. No side to back. A draw is live. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%. Six of the last nine meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.14, 77% on the records (NEC Nijmegen: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7; FC Groningen: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: NEC Nijmegen or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); FC Groningen or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: NEC Nijmegen 2-1 FC Groningen (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).