Match details. LaLiga 2, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time. It is played at Nova Creu Alta, Sabadell. The referee is Saul Ais Reig.
What's at stake. CE Sabadell FC are 10th on 16 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Burgos, 1 point clear of Cordoba. A win would take them above Burgos. Tenerife CD are 14th on 13 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Las Palmas, 1 point clear of Valladolid. A win would take them above Las Palmas.
Team news. CE Sabadell FC's line-up is confirmed. Tenerife CD's line-up is confirmed.
Form. CE Sabadell FC have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D D W. In this competition CE Sabadell FC have gone L W D D W L. Tenerife CD have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L D L. In this competition Tenerife CD have gone D D L D L W.
The numbers. CE Sabadell FC score one and concede 0.8 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and five games without a goal. CE Sabadell FC average 14.4 shots (4.4 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.9 cards a game, with 44% of the ball. Tenerife CD score 1.4 and concede 2.2 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Tenerife CD average 10.1 shots (3.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 2.8 cards a game, with 43% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last two meetings CE Sabadell FC have won one, drawn none and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 16 May 2021, it finished CE Sabadell FC 0-2 Tenerife CD: CE Sabadell FC had 8 shots to 11, 60% of the ball, six yellow cards.
The case against. Tenerife CD's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. CE Sabadell FC or the draw. A draw is live. A tight game. CE Sabadell FC are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 40%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.17, 75% on the records (CE Sabadell FC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10; Tenerife CD: under 3.5 goals in 2 of 5 away). Backup: CE Sabadell FC or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: CE Sabadell FC Over 0.5 goals (CE Sabadell FC's own games don't back it (5 of 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CE Sabadell FC 1-1 Tenerife CD (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).