Match details. 1st deild. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
Form. EB/Streymur II have won one, drawn one and lost eight of their last ten, 0.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L W L. FC Hoyvik have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L D L W.
The numbers. EB/Streymur II score 1.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. EB/Streymur II average 2.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. FC Hoyvik score one and concede 2.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and five games without a goal. FC Hoyvik average 4.5 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make EB/Streymur II the likelier winners, but FC Hoyvik are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Hoyvik.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 78%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals at 1.26, rated 78% (EB/Streymur II: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home; FC Hoyvik: over 2.5 goals in 6 of 10). Backup: EB/Streymur II Over 0.5 Goals at 1.30. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: EB/Streymur II 2-1 FC Hoyvik (9% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (EB/Streymur II the favourite), an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).