Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 16:00 Lagos time.
Form. Utebo FC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D D L W. UD Logrones B have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L W L.
The numbers. Utebo FC score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Utebo FC average 7.3 shots (3.5 on target), 2.3 corners and 1.7 cards a game. UD Logrones B score 1.7 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. UD Logrones B average 13.6 shots (6.0 on target), 4.6 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
The case against. Utebo FC's record still gives them 26% to win.
The read. UD Logrones B to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make UD Logrones B the likelier winners; UD Logrones B are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 49%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Utebo FC 0-1 UD Logrones B (12% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UTE 10 of 10 (100%) · UDL 6 of 7 (86%)92.9%
Utebo FC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones B: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Utebo FC: only games against sides at UD Logrones B's level · UD Logrones B: only games against sides at Utebo FC's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UTE 10 of 10 (100%) · UDL 5 of 7 (71%)85.7%
Utebo FC: under 4.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones B: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Utebo FC: only games against sides at UD Logrones B's level · UD Logrones B: only games against sides at Utebo FC's level
UD LOGRONES B GOALS
UD Logrones B Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UTE 4 of 7 (57%) · UDL 9 of 10 (90%)73.6%
UD Logrones B scored in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Utebo FC conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 74% · UD Logrones B: only games against sides at Utebo FC's level · Utebo FC: only games against sides at UD Logrones B's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UTE 10 of 10 (100%) · UDL 7 of 7 (100%)100%
Utebo FC: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones B: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · Utebo FC: only games against sides at UD Logrones B's level · UD Logrones B: only games against sides at Utebo FC's level
1st Half Under 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
UTE 9 of 10 (90%) · UDL 5 of 7 (71%)80.7%
Utebo FC: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · UD Logrones B: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · on half-time scores · Utebo FC: only games against sides at UD Logrones B's level · UD Logrones B: only games against sides at Utebo FC's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 0–112.2%
Utebo FC goals →
UD Logrones B goals ↓
0-010%
1-08%
2-04%
3-01%
4-00.4%
5-00.1%
0-112%
1-113%
2-16%
3-12%
4-10.5%
5-10.1%
0-29%
1-29%
2-24%
3-21%
4-20.4%
5-20.1%
0-34%
1-34%
2-32%
3-30.7%
4-30.2%
5-30.0%
0-41%
1-41%
2-40.7%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.4%
1-50.4%
2-50.2%
3-50.1%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
UTEBO FCLLLDDWLDDL0.70 PPG
UD LOGRONES BWWWDDLWLWL1.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
UTEBO FC HOMExUD LOGRONES B AWAY
0.80SCORED A GAME2.201.20CONCEDED A GAME1.2010%CLEAN SHEETS50%2.33CORNERS A GAME4.571.67CARDS A GAME1.57
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
1.17POINTS A GAME1.17+0.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.67–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-4.81.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.26LEAGUE GAMES6
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
66%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
39%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
89%
OKAY · 85/90
UTEBO FC OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
UD LOGRONES B OR DRAW
67%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
UTEBO FCxUD LOGRONES B
5GAMES50.80SCORED A GAME1.400.80CONCEDED A GAME2.201.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.660%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%60%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Utebo FC have scored in 70% of their games.
UD Logrones B have scored in 70% of their games.
Utebo FC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
UD Logrones B kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards