Match details. Segunda Federacion. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. SD Eibar B have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W W W. Bergantinos FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W.
The numbers. SD Eibar B score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. SD Eibar B average 16.0 shots (4.6 on target), 7.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game. Bergantinos FC score 2.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Bergantinos FC average 14.2 shots (5.2 on target), 2.5 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The case against. SD Eibar B's record still gives them 28% to win.
The read. Bergantinos FC to win. An open game. Bergantinos FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Bergantinos FC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 64%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Bergantinos FC Over 1.5 Goals (SD Eibar B's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: SD Eibar B 1-2 Bergantinos FC (9% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Bergantinos FC or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SDE 8 of 8 (100%) · BER 3 of 5 (60%)81.7%
Bergantinos FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SD Eibar B: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85% · Bergantinos FC: only games against sides at SD Eibar B's level · SD Eibar B: only games against sides at Bergantinos FC's level
Bergantinos FC or Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SDE 8 of 8 (100%) · BER 2 of 5 (40%)69%
Bergantinos FC: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SD Eibar B: the bet landed in 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70% · Bergantinos FC: only games against sides at SD Eibar B's level · SD Eibar B: only games against sides at Bergantinos FC's level
Double Chance: Draw or Bergantinos FCLEANPAGE ONLY
1.53
SDE 8 of 8 (100%) · BER 2 of 5 (40%)69%
Bergantinos FC unbeaten in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SD Eibar B failed to win 2 of 5 at home · both last 10: 75% · Bergantinos FC: only games against sides at SD Eibar B's level · SD Eibar B: only games against sides at Bergantinos FC's level
GOALS
Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SDE 5 of 5 (100%) · BER 8 of 8 (100%)98.3%
SD Eibar B: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Bergantinos FC: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · SD Eibar B: only games against sides at Bergantinos FC's level · Bergantinos FC: only games against sides at SD Eibar B's level
Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SDE 3 of 5 (60%) · BER 7 of 8 (88%)75.4%
SD Eibar B: over 1.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Bergantinos FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · SD Eibar B: only games against sides at Bergantinos FC's level · Bergantinos FC: only games against sides at SD Eibar B's level
Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.96
SDE 2 of 5 (40%) · BER 7 of 8 (88%)63.8%
SD Eibar B: over 2.5 goals in 2 of 5 at home · Bergantinos FC: over 2.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 64% · SD Eibar B: only games against sides at Bergantinos FC's level · Bergantinos FC: only games against sides at SD Eibar B's level
BERGANTINOS FC GOALS
Bergantinos FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
SDE 8 of 8 (100%) · BER 3 of 5 (60%)80%
Bergantinos FC scored in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · SD Eibar B conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 80% · Bergantinos FC: only games against sides at SD Eibar B's level · SD Eibar B: only games against sides at Bergantinos FC's level
Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Bergantinos FC Over 1.5 Goals (SD Eibar B's own games don't back it (2 of 5)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–29.2%
SD Eibar B goals →
Bergantinos FC goals ↓
0-07%
1-07%
2-05%
3-02%
4-00.6%
5-00.1%
0-19%
1-112%
2-17%
3-13%
4-10.9%
5-10.2%
0-27%
1-29%
2-26%
3-22%
4-20.7%
5-20.2%
0-34%
1-35%
2-33%
3-31%
4-30.4%
5-30.1%
0-42%
1-42%
2-41%
3-40.5%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.5%
1-50.6%
2-50.4%
3-50.2%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).
FORM · LAST 10
SD EIBAR BLDWLWWWWDD1.80 PPG
BERGANTINOS FCWDWWLWWWDW2.30 PPG
THE NUMBERS
SD EIBAR B HOMExBERGANTINOS FC AWAY
1.60SCORED A GAME2.700.90CONCEDED A GAME0.8040%CLEAN SHEETS50%7.00CORNERS A GAME2.502.80CARDS A GAME2.25
THE BANK
THE BANKER MENU
OVER 1.5 CARDS
–
543 OF 573
NO PRICE YET
Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.
Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.
THE QUALITY READ
2.12POINTS A GAME2.33+1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.17–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST–2.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.68LEAGUE GAMES6
No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
66%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
54%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
85%
OKAY · 85/90
SD EIBAR B OR DRAW
84%
OKAY · 80/85
BERGANTINOS FC OR DRAW
61%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
SD EIBAR BxBERGANTINOS FC
5GAMES51.80SCORED A GAME2.400.40CONCEDED A GAME1.002.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.460%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS80%40%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
SD Eibar B have scored in 90% of their games.
Bergantinos FC have scored in 90% of their games.
SD Eibar B kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.
Bergantinos FC kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards