KVC Westerlo vs KV Waasland-Beveren
Match details. Pro League, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Het Kuipje, Westerlo. The referee is A. Letellier.
What's at stake. KVC Westerlo are 6th on 13 points after 8 games, 3 points behind Anderlecht, 1 point clear of Genk. A win would take them level on points with Anderlecht. KV Waasland-Beveren are 12th on 9 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Antwerp, 1 point clear of St. Truiden. A win would take them above Antwerp.
Form. KVC Westerlo have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. KV Waasland-Beveren have won five, drawn none and lost five of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L W W.
The numbers. KVC Westerlo score 2.8 and concede two a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. KVC Westerlo average 11.6 shots (5.2 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 51% of the ball. KV Waasland-Beveren score 0.6 and concede 2.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. KV Waasland-Beveren average 8.3 shots (3.8 on target), 5.4 corners and 1.8 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings KVC Westerlo have won five, drawn two and lost two. Four of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, KVC Westerlo won one, one was drawn and KV Waasland-Beveren won two. The last time they met, on 1 Nov 2023, it finished KVC Westerlo 1-3 KV Waasland-Beveren.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%; five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The case against. KV Waasland-Beveren's record still gives them 30% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: five of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The read. KVC Westerlo to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make KVC Westerlo the likelier winners; KVC Westerlo are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour KVC Westerlo. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 74%.
The bets. Best bet: KVC Westerlo or Draw at 1.26, 78% on the records (KVC Westerlo unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; KV Waasland-Beveren failed to win 4 of 5 away). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.15 (78%). Backup: 2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5 at 1.15. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: KVC Westerlo Win & Over 1.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (KVC Westerlo are a clear winner, no Unders); KV Waasland-Beveren Over 0.5 goals (KV Waasland-Beveren's own games don't back it (2 of 5)). Predicted score: KVC Westerlo 2-1 KV Waasland-Beveren (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).