INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - UEFA CONFERENCE LEAGUE

CZCRV

18:45Thu 5 Nov

INT

Crvena Zvezda vs Inter Club de Escaldes

CLASS B

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. UEFA Conference League, League Stage - 3. Kick-off is Thu 5 Nov, 18:45 Lagos time. It is played at Stadion Rajko Mitić, Beograd. The referee is H. Nalbandyan.

What's at stake. Crvena Zvezda are 22nd on 1 point after 2 games, 1 point behind Riga, level on points with CSKA Sofia. A win would take them above Riga. Inter Club de Escaldes are 35th on 0 points after 2 games, level on points with KuPS, level on points with Kauno Žalgiris. A win would take them above KuPS.

Form. Crvena Zvezda have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W D W. In this competition Crvena Zvezda have gone D L. Inter Club de Escaldes have won two, drawn one and lost two of their last five, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W W.

The numbers. Crvena Zvezda score 2.8 and concede one a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Crvena Zvezda average 20.3 shots (8.1 on target), 6.0 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 60% of the ball. Inter Club de Escaldes score 1.8 and concede 1.4 a game over their last five, with two clean sheets. Inter Club de Escaldes average 3.8 corners and 2.2 cards a game, with 51% of the ball.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 94% against the records' 59%.

The read. No firm call: Crvena Zvezda are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Crvena Zvezda the likelier winners; Crvena Zvezda are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Crvena Zvezda. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Crvena Zvezda 2-1 Inter Club de Escaldes (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Crvena Zvezda or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CRV 10 of 10 (100%) · INT 5 of 5 (100%)100%

Crvena Zvezda: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Inter Club de Escaldes: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · each game weighed by who it was against

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CRV 10 of 10 (100%) · INT 5 of 5 (100%)100%

Crvena Zvezda: over 0.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Inter Club de Escaldes: over 0.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 5.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.28

CRV 7 of 10 (70%) · INT 5 of 5 (100%)90.8%

Crvena Zvezda: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Inter Club de Escaldes: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.27

CRV 8 of 10 (80%) · INT 3 of 5 (60%)81%

Crvena Zvezda: over 2.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Inter Club de Escaldes: over 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · each game weighed by who it was against

Under 4.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.61

CRV 6 of 10 (60%) · INT 5 of 5 (100%)80.9%

Crvena Zvezda: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Inter Club de Escaldes: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · each game weighed by who it was against

CRVENA ZVEZDA GOALS

Crvena Zvezda Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CRV 10 of 10 (100%) · INT 3 of 5 (60%)87.5%

Crvena Zvezda scored in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Inter Club de Escaldes conceded in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · each game weighed by who it was against

Crvena Zvezda Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.13

CRV 8 of 10 (80%) · INT 3 of 5 (60%)81.4%

Crvena Zvezda scored over 1.5 in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Inter Club de Escaldes conceded over 1.5 in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 70% · each game weighed by who it was against

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.10

CRV 8 of 10 (80%) · INT 5 of 5 (100%)90.2%

Crvena Zvezda: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Inter Club de Escaldes: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.18

CRV 9 of 10 (90%) · INT 4 of 5 (80%)85.1%

Crvena Zvezda: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Inter Club de Escaldes: the bet landed in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · each game weighed by who it was against

CORNERS

Over 7.5 CornersIN CODES

1.34

CRV 6 of 7 (86%) · INT 4 of 5 (80%)83.1%

Crvena Zvezda's games: over 7.5 corners in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Inter Club de Escaldes's games: over 7.5 corners in 4 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 83% · each game weighed by who it was against

CARDS

Over 1.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CRV 7 of 7 (100%) · INT 5 of 5 (100%)100%

Crvena Zvezda's games: over 1.5 cards in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Inter Club de Escaldes's games: over 1.5 cards in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · each game weighed by who it was against

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.5%

Crvena Zvezda goals →

Inter Club de Escaldes goals ↓

0-04%

1-06%

2-07%

3-05%

4-03%

5-01%

0-13%

1-19%

2-19%

3-17%

4-14%

5-12%

0-23%

1-26%

2-26%

3-25%

4-22%

5-21%

0-31%

1-33%

2-33%

3-32%

4-31%

5-30.5%

0-40.4%

1-40.8%

2-40.9%

3-40.7%

4-40.4%

5-40.2%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.2%

3-50.2%

4-50.1%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

CRVENA ZVEZDAWWWWLWDWWW2.50 PPG

INTER CLUB DE ESCALDESWWDLL1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CRVENA ZVEZDA HOMExINTER CLUB DE ESCALDES AWAY

2.80SCORED A GAME1.801.00CONCEDED A GAME1.4040%CLEAN SHEETS40%7%FAILED TO SCORE17%6.00CORNERS A GAME3.802.29CARDS A GAME2.20

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

CRVENA ZVEZDA OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

2.86POINTS A GAME2.14+2.21GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+1.71+5.7SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+9.43.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME2.214LEAGUE GAMES7

Crvena Zvezda: the quality side - more points a game, better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

85%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

70%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

66%

NO · 85/90

CRVENA ZVEZDA OR DRAW

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

INTER CLUB DE ESCALDES OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (14 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CRVENA ZVEZDAxINTER CLUB DE ESCALDES

5GAMES53.20SCORED A GAME2.400.60CONCEDED A GAME0.603.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%40%BOTH SCORE40%3.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES7.210.2CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES11.0

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Crvena Zvezda failed to score in 7% of their games.

Inter Club de Escaldes failed to score in 17% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstxG & xGAleague tablecornerscards