Match details. Primera B, Regular Season - 29. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. San Luis de Quillota are 1st on 53 points after 28 games, 2 points clear of Cobreloa. Deportes Recoleta are 6th on 41 points after 28 games, 4 points behind Antofagasta, 1 point clear of San Marcos de Arica. Deportes Recoleta have nothing left to play for.
Form. San Luis de Quillota have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition San Luis de Quillota have gone W W W W W W. Deportes Recoleta have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W D W. In this competition Deportes Recoleta have gone L L W D W W.
The numbers. San Luis de Quillota score 1.8 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Deportes Recoleta score 0.8 and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings San Luis de Quillota have won five, drawn three and lost two. Six of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, San Luis de Quillota won one, two were drawn and Deportes Recoleta won one. The last time they met, on 30 May 2026, it finished San Luis de Quillota 0-0 Deportes Recoleta.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%; six of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The case against. Deportes Recoleta's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. San Luis de Quillota to win. Their goals for and against make San Luis de Quillota the likelier winners; San Luis de Quillota are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour San Luis de Quillota; the meetings favour San Luis de Quillota.
The bets. Best bet: San Luis de Quillota or Draw at 1.18, 75% on the records (San Luis de Quillota unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home; Deportes Recoleta failed to win 4 of 5 away). Backup: Under 4.5 Goals at 1.19. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: San Luis de Quillota 1-0 Deportes Recoleta (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).