Match details. Primera B, Regular Season - 29. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 21:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Regional de Chinquihue, Puerto Montt.
What's at stake. Puerto Montt are 12th on 35 points after 28 games, level on points with Deportes Iquique, 4 points clear of Curico Unido. A win would take them above Deportes Iquique. Union San Felipe are 15th on 23 points after 28 games, level on points with Deportes Santa Cruz, 2 points clear of Rangers de Talca. A win would take them above Deportes Santa Cruz. Puerto Montt have nothing left to play for. Union San Felipe have nothing left to play for.
Form. Puerto Montt have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L. Union San Felipe have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L L L.
The numbers. Puerto Montt score one and concede 0.8 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Puerto Montt average 3.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game. Union San Felipe score 0.4 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and seven games without a goal. Union San Felipe average 4.8 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings Puerto Montt have won five, drawn one and lost four. Four of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, Puerto Montt won two, one was drawn and Union San Felipe won one. The last time they met, on 30 May 2026, it finished Puerto Montt 0-1 Union San Felipe.
The case against. Union San Felipe's record still gives them 39% to win.
The read. Puerto Montt to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Puerto Montt the likelier winners; Puerto Montt are the stronger side on form and the table. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 32%. Six of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.27, 76% on the records (Puerto Montt: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7; Union San Felipe: under 3.5 goals in 7 of 10). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.17. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Union San Felipe Under 1.5 goals (Puerto Montt's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Puerto Montt Over 0.5 goals (Puerto Montt's own games don't back it (3 of 7)); Puerto Montt or draw and under 3.5 goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Puerto Montt 1-0 Union San Felipe (12% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).