Match details. Ligue 2, Regular Season - 10. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 19:45 Lagos time. It is played at Stade Geoffroy-Guichard, Saint Etienne. The referee is Gael Angoula.
What's at stake. Saint-Etienne are 1st on 22 points after 9 games, 3 points clear of Nancy. Nantes are 14th on 8 points after 9 games, 1 point behind Boulogne, level on points with Grenoble. A win would take them above Boulogne.
Form. Saint-Etienne have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D L W. Nantes have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W L W.
The numbers. Saint-Etienne score 2.3 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets. Saint-Etienne average 12.5 shots (6.2 on target), 4.1 corners and 1.4 cards a game, with 54% of the ball. Nantes score 1.1 and concede 1.6 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and four games without a goal. Nantes average 12.4 shots (3.9 on target), 5.7 corners and 1.7 cards a game, with 56% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Saint-Etienne have won one, drawn six and lost two. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in seven. In the last four, three were drawn and Nantes won one. The last time they met, on 19 Jan 2025, it finished Saint-Etienne 1-1 Nantes: Saint-Etienne had 12 shots to 8, 75% of the ball, three yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%.
The read. Saint-Etienne to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Saint-Etienne the likelier winners; Saint-Etienne are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Saint-Etienne. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Saint-Etienne or Draw at 1.22, 79% on the records (Saint-Etienne unbeaten in 8 of 9; Nantes failed to win 7 of 9). Backup: Saint-Etienne or Both Teams Score at 1.14. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Saint-Etienne or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); 1X2 - 2UP: Saint-Etienne (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Saint-Etienne 1-0 Nantes (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).