FC Aarau vs Etoile Carouge FC
Match details. Challenge League, Regular Season - 11. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. FC Aarau are 6th on 12 points after 10 games, 3 points behind Neuchatel Xamax FC, 2 points clear of Rapperswil. A win would take them level on points with Neuchatel Xamax FC. Etoile Carouge FC are 9th on 9 points after 10 games, 1 point behind FC WIL 1900, 4 points clear of Stade Nyonnais. A win would take them above FC WIL 1900.
Form. FC Aarau have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D W D. In this competition FC Aarau have gone L L D W D W. Etoile Carouge FC have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L D L. In this competition Etoile Carouge FC have gone L L L D L W.
The numbers. FC Aarau score two and concede 1.4 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. FC Aarau average 5.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Etoile Carouge FC score 0.8 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Etoile Carouge FC average 5.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings FC Aarau have won five, drawn one and lost four. Eight of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in six. In the last four, FC Aarau won two and Etoile Carouge FC won two. The last time they met, on 24 Jul 2026, it finished FC Aarau 0-3 Etoile Carouge FC.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%; eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Etoile Carouge FC's record still gives them 21% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. FC Aarau to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Aarau the likelier winners; FC Aarau are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Aarau. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%. Eight of the last ten meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: FC Aarau or Draw at 1.22, 77% on the records (FC Aarau unbeaten in 5 of 5 at home; Etoile Carouge FC failed to win 8 of 10). Backup: FC Aarau or Both Teams Score at 1.10. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FC Aarau or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Aarau 2-1 Etoile Carouge FC (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).