AMALC

16:30Sat 24 Oct

ACC

Alcione Milano vs AC Carpi

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Serie C, Group A, Girone A - 11. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Ernesto Breda, Sesto San Giovanni, a neutral ground. The referee is A. Bortolussi.

What's at stake. Alcione Milano are 7th on 15 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Treviso, 1 point clear of Pergolettese. A win would take them above Treviso. AC Carpi are 16th on 9 points after 10 games, 1 point behind Juventus U23, level on points with PRO Vercelli. A win would take them above Juventus U23.

Form. Alcione Milano have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D D L. In this competition Alcione Milano have gone W D D D L D. AC Carpi have won two, drawn three and lost five of their last ten, 0.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L L D. In this competition AC Carpi have gone W L L L D D.

The numbers. Alcione Milano score 1.7 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. Alcione Milano average 4.3 corners and 2.1 cards a game. AC Carpi score 1.4 and concede two a game over their last ten, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AC Carpi average 2.9 corners and 2.5 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Alcione Milano have won one, drawn none and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 10 Apr 2022, it finished Alcione Milano 6-1 AC Carpi.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 70%.

The read. Alcione Milano to win. Alcione Milano are the stronger side on form and the table.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: 2nd Half - Alcione Milano Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (Alcione Milano are a clear winner, no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Alcione Milano are a clear winner, no Unders). Predicted score: Alcione Milano 1-0 AC Carpi (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Alcione Milano or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALC 9 of 10 (90%) · ACC 9 of 10 (90%)91.2%

Alcione Milano: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Carpi: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Alcione Milano: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level · AC Carpi: only games against sides at Alcione Milano's level

Alcione Milano or Both Teams ScoreIN CODES

1.20

ALC 8 of 10 (80%) · ACC 9 of 10 (90%)86.9%

Alcione Milano: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Carpi: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Alcione Milano: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level · AC Carpi: only games against sides at Alcione Milano's level

Alcione Milano or Draw (1UP)IN CODES

1.21

ALC 4 of 5 (80%) · ACC 4 of 5 (80%)83.3%

Alcione Milano scored first 4 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 5 at home · AC Carpi trailed or failed to win in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues)

Alcione Milano or Over 2.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.37

ALC 6 of 10 (60%) · ACC 9 of 10 (90%)78.1%

Alcione Milano: the bet landed in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Carpi: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Alcione Milano: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level · AC Carpi: only games against sides at Alcione Milano's level

Double Chance: Alcione Milano or DrawPAGE ONLY

1.29

ALC 9 of 10 (90%) · ACC 8 of 10 (80%)71.1%

Alcione Milano unbeaten in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Carpi failed to win 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Alcione Milano: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level · AC Carpi: only games against sides at Alcione Milano's level

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsLEANIN CODES

1.29

ALC 9 of 10 (90%) · ACC 9 of 10 (90%)68.2%

Alcione Milano: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Carpi: over 1.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · Alcione Milano: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level · AC Carpi: only games against sides at Alcione Milano's level

ALCIONE MILANO GOALS

Alcione Milano Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.21

ALC 8 of 10 (80%) · ACC 9 of 10 (90%)75.6%

Alcione Milano scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Carpi conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Alcione Milano: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level · AC Carpi: only games against sides at Alcione Milano's level

AC CARPI GOALS

AC Carpi Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.38

ALC 8 of 10 (80%) · ACC 9 of 10 (90%)60.3%

AC Carpi scored in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Alcione Milano conceded in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · AC Carpi: only games against sides at Alcione Milano's level · Alcione Milano: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level

HALVES

2nd Half - Over/Under: Over 0.5PAGE ONLY

1.23

ALC 9 of 10 (90%) · ACC 9 of 10 (90%)90%

Alcione Milano: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Carpi: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 90% · on half-time scores · Alcione Milano: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level · AC Carpi: only games against sides at Alcione Milano's level

Over 0.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.38

ALC 7 of 10 (70%) · ACC 10 of 10 (100%)85%

Alcione Milano: the bet landed in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · AC Carpi: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · on half-time scores · Alcione Milano: only games against sides at AC Carpi's level · AC Carpi: only games against sides at Alcione Milano's level

Left off the list: 2nd Half - Alcione Milano Over/Under: Over 0.5 (the numbers (47%) and the records (70%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Under 4.5 Goals (Alcione Milano are a clear winner - no Unders); Under 5.5 Goals (Alcione Milano are a clear winner - no Unders)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.3%

Alcione Milano goals →

AC Carpi goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01.0%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-114%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-40.9%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

ALCIONE MILANOWDDWDLDDDW1.50 PPG

AC CARPILDWLDDLLLW0.90 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ALCIONE MILANO HOMExAC CARPI AWAY

1.70SCORED A GAME1.401.50CONCEDED A GAME2.0010%CLEAN SHEETS10%20%FAILED TO SCORE20%4.30CORNERS A GAME2.902.10CARDS A GAME2.50

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

ALCIONE MILANO OR DRAW (1UP)

–

137 OF 146

NO PRICE YET

The tips call a clear winner and every tip has the favourite winning by 2+.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.50POINTS A GAME0.90+0.20GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.60-3.4SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.01.2LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.810LEAGUE GAMES10

Alcione Milano: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

93%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

77%

OKAY · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 85/90

ALCIONE MILANO OR DRAW

80%

OKAY · 80/85

AC CARPI OR DRAW

48%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (10 and 10 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ALCIONE MILANOxAC CARPI

5GAMES52.00SCORED A GAME1.001.80CONCEDED A GAME1.803.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.8100%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%80%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

ALCIONE MILANO 1 · 50%DRAW 0AC CARPI 1 · 50%

2021-11-28Alcione Milano 0 – 1 AC Carpi

2022-04-10Alcione Milano 6 – 1 AC Carpi

TRENDS

Alcione Milano have scored in 80% of their games.

AC Carpi have scored in 80% of their games.

Alcione Milano kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

AC Carpi kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards