Match details. Serie B, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 16:15 Lagos time. It is played at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo, Catanzaro. The referee is Andrea Calzavara.
What's at stake. US Catanzaro are 20th on 4 points after 7 games, level on points with Sampdoria. A win would take them above Sampdoria. Ascoli Calcio 1898 are 6th on 12 points after 7 games, level on points with Sudtirol, 1 point clear of Avellino. A win would take them above Sudtirol.
Form. US Catanzaro have won two, drawn two and lost six of their last ten, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L L W L. Ascoli Calcio 1898 have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D W L W.
The numbers. US Catanzaro score 1.2 and concede 1.8 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. US Catanzaro average 11.1 shots (3.7 on target), 3.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game, with 55% of the ball. Ascoli Calcio 1898 score 1.5 and concede one a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Ascoli Calcio 1898 average 9.6 shots (3.7 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.0 cards a game, with 61% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last two meetings US Catanzaro have won one, drawn none and lost one. One of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 10 Feb 2024, it finished US Catanzaro 3-2 Ascoli Calcio 1898: US Catanzaro had 11 shots to 10, 71% of the ball, nine yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make US Catanzaro the likelier winners, but Ascoli Calcio 1898 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ascoli Calcio 1898.
The read. Ascoli Calcio 1898 or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make US Catanzaro the likelier winners; Ascoli Calcio 1898 are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Ascoli Calcio 1898. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Ascoli Calcio 1898 or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Ascoli Calcio 1898 or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Ascoli Calcio 1898 1UP (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: US Catanzaro 1-1 Ascoli Calcio 1898 (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).