FK Borac Cacak vs FK Napredak Krusevac
Match details. Prva Liga, Regular Season - 15. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 15:00 Lagos time. It is played at Gradski stadion, Cacak.
What's at stake. FK Borac Cacak are 2nd on 29 points after 14 games, 1 point behind TSC Backa Topola, 2 points clear of Javor. A win would take them above TSC Backa Topola. FK Napredak Krusevac are 6th on 21 points after 14 games, 4 points behind OFK Vršac, 2 points clear of FK Vozdovac.
Form. FK Borac Cacak have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L D W. In this competition FK Borac Cacak have gone D W L D W L. FK Napredak Krusevac have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W D L. In this competition FK Napredak Krusevac have gone W D W D L L.
The numbers. FK Borac Cacak score 1.9 and concede 1.4 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets. FK Borac Cacak average 5.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game. FK Napredak Krusevac score 0.9 and concede 1.3 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and four games without a goal. FK Napredak Krusevac average 4.0 corners and 2.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last four meetings FK Borac Cacak have won none, drawn one and lost three. Three of the four went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. The last time they met, on 4 Dec 2017, it finished FK Borac Cacak 3-3 FK Napredak Krusevac.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: their goals for and against make FK Borac Cacak the likelier winners, but FK Borac Cacak are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Borac Cacak; the meetings favour FK Napredak Krusevac.
The case against. FK Napredak Krusevac's record still gives them 32% to win. The meetings do not back them.
The read. FK Borac Cacak or the draw. An open game. Their goals for and against make FK Borac Cacak the likelier winners; FK Borac Cacak are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Borac Cacak; the meetings favour FK Napredak Krusevac. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 71%. Three of the last four meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FK Borac Cacak or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FK Borac Cacak 2-1 FK Napredak Krusevac (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).