New Taipei Hang Yuan vs Kasuka
Match details. AFC Challenge League, Group Stage. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time. It is played at Thuwunna Stadium, Yangon.
Form. New Taipei Hang Yuan have won three, drawn six and lost one of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D D D D. Kasuka have won two, drawn none and lost six of their last eight, 0.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. New Taipei Hang Yuan score 0.8 and concede 0.4 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. New Taipei Hang Yuan average 9.8 shots (6.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 0.4 cards a game. Kasuka score 0.8 and concede 3.4 a game over their last eight, with no clean sheets and four games without a goal. Kasuka average 4.0 shots (0.8 on target), 1.4 corners and 0.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 88% against the records' 49%. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 47%.
The read. No firm call: New Taipei Hang Yuan are the better side, but not at this price. Their goals for and against make New Taipei Hang Yuan the likelier winners; New Taipei Hang Yuan are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour New Taipei Hang Yuan.
The bets. No bet on this one: too close to call. Predicted score: New Taipei Hang Yuan 2-0 Kasuka (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the Model's table).