Shanghai Shengli vs Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng
Match details. Chinese Super League, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 09:00 Lagos time.
Form. Shanghai Shengli have won three, drawn three and lost two of their last eight league games, 1.5 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L D D W W. Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng have won eight, drawn none and lost none of their last eight league games, 3.0 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: W W W W W.
The numbers. Shanghai Shengli score 1.5 and concede 0.9 a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets. Shanghai Shengli average 3.0 corners and 0.0 cards a game. Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng score 1.8 and concede 0.2 a game over their last eight, with six clean sheets. Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng average 2.0 corners and 1.0 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 33% against the records' 55%.
The read. No firm call: Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.24, rated 95% (Shanghai Shengli: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng: under 3.5 goals in 10 of 10). Predicted score: Shanghai Shengli 0-1 Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng (15% chance).
The agreed story. No side to back (Liaoning Shenbei Hefeng the favourite), a tight game.
Cup and European games. A domestic cup: sides rotate, and the two can come from different divisions. Too few cup games on either side to read.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).