USM Alger vs CR Belouizdad
Match details. Ligue 1. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:45 Lagos time.
Form. USM Alger have won three, drawn four and lost three of their last ten, 1.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D. CR Belouizdad have won six, drawn three and lost one of their last ten, 2.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W D.
The numbers. USM Alger score 1.2 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. USM Alger average 7.8 shots (4.0 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game. CR Belouizdad score 1.5 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. CR Belouizdad average 10.5 shots (4.0 on target), 5.2 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to an open game.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 50%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: USM Alger or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); CR Belouizdad or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: USM Alger 1-1 CR Belouizdad (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).