Partizani Tirana vs Skenderbeu Korce
Match details. Kategoria Superiore, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time. It is played at Arena e Demave, Tirana.
What's at stake. Partizani Tirana are 10th on 4 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Vllaznia Shkodër. A win would take them above Vllaznia Shkodër. Skenderbeu Korce are 8th on 6 points after 7 games, 1 point behind Laci, 1 point clear of Vllaznia Shkodër. A win would take them above Laci.
Form. Partizani Tirana have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L W. Skenderbeu Korce have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D D.
The numbers. Partizani Tirana score 1.2 and concede 2.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet. Partizani Tirana average 12.1 shots (4.2 on target), 5.0 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Skenderbeu Korce score one and concede 1.6 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets. Skenderbeu Korce average 11.2 shots (4.4 on target), 4.7 corners and 2.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Partizani Tirana have won five, drawn two and lost two. Two of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Partizani Tirana won three and one was drawn. The last time they met, on 10 Mar 2025, it finished Partizani Tirana 2-1 Skenderbeu Korce.
Where it pulls both ways. It pulls both ways: Skenderbeu Korce are the stronger side on form and the table, but the meetings favour Partizani Tirana. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Partizani Tirana's record still gives them 44% to win. The meetings do not back them. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%.
The read. Skenderbeu Korce or the draw. A tight game. Skenderbeu Korce are the stronger side on form and the table; the meetings favour Partizani Tirana. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Seven of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Skenderbeu Korce or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Over 3.5 Cards (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Partizani Tirana 1-1 Skenderbeu Korce (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).