AL Sahel SC vs AL Rayan

Match details. Second Division, Regular Season - 3. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 15:40 Lagos time.

What's at stake. AL Sahel SC are 20th on 1 point after 2 games, level on points with Al Qwarah, level on points with Al Loa. A win would take them above Al Qwarah. AL Rayan are 5th on 3 points after 1 game, 1 point behind Al-Wajj, level on points with Al Shoalah. A win would take them above Al-Wajj.

Form. AL Sahel SC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W. In this competition AL Sahel SC have gone D L W W W D. AL Rayan have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W W W. In this competition AL Rayan have gone W W W W W W.

The numbers. AL Sahel SC score 1.5 and concede 1.3 a game in their last six at home, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. AL Rayan score 2.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 31% against the records' 54%.

The read. No firm call: AL Rayan are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make AL Rayan the likelier winners; AL Rayan are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AL Rayan. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 68%.

The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.31, 91% on the records (AL Sahel SC: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 6 at home; AL Rayan: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: AL Sahel SC Over 0.5 Goals at 1.24. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: AL Sahel SC Under 1.5 goals (AL Sahel SC's own games don't back it (3 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: AL Sahel SC 1-2 AL Rayan (10% chance).