Match details. Primera B, Regular Season - 41. Kick-off is Mon 26 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Monumental de Villa Lynch, Buenos Aires.
What's at stake. CD UAI Urquiza are 21st on 39 points after 40 games, 3 points behind Defensores Unidos, 22 points clear of Ituzaingó. A win would take them level on points with Defensores Unidos. CA Villa San Carlos are 12th on 50 points after 40 games, 1 point behind San Martín Burzaco, 2 points clear of Deportivo Merlo. A win would take them above San Martín Burzaco. CA Villa San Carlos have nothing left to play for.
Form. CD UAI Urquiza have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W D L. CA Villa San Carlos have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D.
The numbers. CD UAI Urquiza score 1.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CD UAI Urquiza average 4.7 corners and 2.4 cards a game. CA Villa San Carlos score 0.8 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. CA Villa San Carlos average 4.8 corners and 3.0 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last ten meetings CD UAI Urquiza have won two, drawn five and lost three. Three of the ten went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, CD UAI Urquiza won one, two were drawn and CA Villa San Carlos won one. The last time they met, on 13 Jun 2026, it finished CD UAI Urquiza 0-0 CA Villa San Carlos.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 30%. Seven of the last ten meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.20, 77% on the records (CD UAI Urquiza: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; CA Villa San Carlos: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: CA Villa San Carlos or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CD UAI Urquiza 1-1 CA Villa San Carlos (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).