Match details. Liga MX, Women. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 00:00 Lagos time.
Form. CF Pachuca have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L L. Club Necaxa have won none, drawn none and lost ten of their last ten, 0.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.
The numbers. CF Pachuca score 2.2 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with no clean sheets. CF Pachuca average 5.1 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Club Necaxa score 0.4 and concede 5.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Club Necaxa average 2.0 corners and 1.7 cards a game.
The case against. Club Necaxa's record still gives them 23% to win.
The read. CF Pachuca to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CF Pachuca the likelier winners; CF Pachuca are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CF Pachuca. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 77%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); CF Pachuca or Draw (1UP) (the signs point different ways); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: CF Pachuca 3-0 Club Necaxa (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).