Match details. China League 2. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 08:30 Lagos time.
Form. Qingdao Red Lions have won three, drawn three and lost four of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L L W. Ganzhou Ruishi FC have won one, drawn three and lost six of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L W L.
The numbers. Qingdao Red Lions score 1.6 and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Qingdao Red Lions average 4.5 corners and 2.1 cards a game. Ganzhou Ruishi FC score none and concede 3.4 a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and five games without a goal. Ganzhou Ruishi FC average 3.0 corners and 1.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.
The read. Qingdao Red Lions to win. Their goals for and against make Qingdao Red Lions the likelier winners; Qingdao Red Lions are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Qingdao Red Lions.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Ganzhou Ruishi FC or Under 2.5 Goals (the call backs Qingdao Red Lions); Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways). Predicted score: Qingdao Red Lions 2-0 Ganzhou Ruishi FC (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).