Match details. CAF Champions League, 2nd Preliminary Round. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. Zamalek SC have won eight, drawn none and lost two of their last ten, 2.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L W. Apr FC have won six, drawn one and lost three of their last ten, 1.9 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L W.
The numbers. Zamalek SC score 1.6 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Zamalek SC average 8.4 shots (3.4 on target), 3.9 corners and 1.5 cards a game. Apr FC score 1.7 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Apr FC average 8.6 shots (3.7 on target), 5.8 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 16 Oct 2026, it finished Zamalek SC 1-0 Apr FC.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 87% against the records' 49%.
The read. No firm call: Zamalek SC are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Zamalek SC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Zamalek SC. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 52%.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.23, 83% on the records (Zamalek SC: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 6; Apr FC: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 7). Leave: Under 3.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Zamalek SC 1-2 Apr FC (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).