INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - CAF CHAMPIONS LEAGUE

AMALM

18:00Sat 24 Oct

HOR

Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) vs Horoya AC

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. CAF Champions League. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 18:00 Lagos time.

Form. Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) have won three, drawn two and lost five of their last ten, 1.1 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W L. Horoya AC have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L L D.

The numbers. Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) score 1.4 and concede one a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) average 6.2 shots (1.9 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.1 cards a game. Horoya AC score 1.2 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and three games without a goal. Horoya AC average 2.5 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 17% against the records' 47%.

The read. No firm call: Horoya AC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Horoya AC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Horoya AC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 38%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) 1-1 Horoya AC (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Horoya AC or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.37

ALM 8 of 10 (80%) · HOR 4 of 5 (80%)81.7%

Horoya AC: the bet landed in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): the bet landed in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 85%

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

ALM 5 of 5 (100%) · HOR 10 of 10 (100%)100%

Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Horoya AC: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100%

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.19

ALM 4 of 5 (80%) · HOR 8 of 10 (80%)80%

Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Horoya AC: under 3.5 goals in 8 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80%

Under 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.55

ALM 3 of 5 (60%) · HOR 6 of 10 (60%)61.7%

Al-Merrikh SC (SDN): under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 at home · Horoya AC: under 2.5 goals in 6 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 65%

HOROYA AC GOALS

Horoya AC Over 0.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.77

ALM 7 of 10 (70%) · HOR 4 of 5 (80%)73.3%

Horoya AC scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) conceded in 4 of 5 at home · both last 10: 70%

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.9%

Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) goals →

Horoya AC goals ↓

0-010%

1-011%

2-07%

3-03%

4-00.9%

5-00.2%

0-110%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.2%

0-26%

1-27%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.6%

5-20.1%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.7%

4-30.2%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-40.8%

2-40.5%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AL-MERRIKH SC (SDN)WLLDLLWWDL1.10 PPG

HOROYA ACWLWLWDLLWW1.60 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AL-MERRIKH SC (SDN) HOMExHOROYA AC AWAY

0.90SCORED A GAME1.201.00CONCEDED A GAME1.1030%CLEAN SHEETS30%3.67CORNERS A GAME2.501.11CARDS A GAME2.00

TRENDS

Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) have scored in 60% of their games.

Horoya AC have scored in 70% of their games.

Al-Merrikh SC (SDN) kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Horoya AC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards