SAFSAF

13:30Sat 24 Oct

FKK

Safa vs FK Kapaz

CLASS B

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class B

SAFv

Under 3.5 Goals

Safa v FK Kapaz

Azerbaijan - Premier… · 13:30

1.27odds

79%book

-3edge

2/2angles

THE READ

Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 13:30 Lagos time.

Form. Safa have won two, drawn none and lost eight of their last ten, 0.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L. FK Kapaz have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D W L.

The numbers. Safa score 0.6 and concede 1.7 a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and five games without a goal. Safa average 5.6 shots (2.7 on target), 2.7 corners and 1.9 cards a game. FK Kapaz score 0.8 and concede 1.1 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. FK Kapaz average 5.6 shots (2.3 on target), 1.8 corners and 1.8 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 43% against the records' 64%.

The read. No firm call: FK Kapaz are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. FK Kapaz are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FK Kapaz. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 24%.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.26, 76% on the records (Safa: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8; FK Kapaz: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10). Backup: 1st Half - GG/NG: No at 1.16. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: FK Kapaz or Under 2.5 Goals (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Safa 1-1 FK Kapaz (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

SAF 8 of 8 (100%) · FKK 10 of 10 (100%)97%

Safa: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FK Kapaz: under 5.5 goals in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Safa: only games against sides at FK Kapaz's level · FK Kapaz: only games against sides at Safa's level

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.27

SAF 6 of 8 (75%) · FKK 9 of 10 (90%)76.1%

Safa: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FK Kapaz: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · Safa: only games against sides at FK Kapaz's level · FK Kapaz: only games against sides at Safa's level

SAFA GOALS

Safa Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.39

SAF 7 of 8 (88%) · FKK 7 of 10 (70%)65.8%

Safa scored under 1.5 in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FK Kapaz conceded under 1.5 in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Safa: only games against sides at FK Kapaz's level · FK Kapaz: only games against sides at Safa's level

FK KAPAZ GOALS

FK Kapaz Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.28

SAF 7 of 10 (70%) · FKK 7 of 8 (88%)70.6%

FK Kapaz scored in 7 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · Safa conceded in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · FK Kapaz: only games against sides at Safa's level · Safa: only games against sides at FK Kapaz's level

HALVES

1st Half - GG/NG: NoBACKUPPAGE ONLY

1.16

SAF 8 of 8 (100%) · FKK 10 of 10 (100%)100%

Safa: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FK Kapaz: the bet landed in 10 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · on half-time scores · Safa: only games against sides at FK Kapaz's level · FK Kapaz: only games against sides at Safa's level

Under 1.5 first-half goalsPAGE ONLY

1.35

SAF 7 of 8 (88%) · FKK 9 of 10 (90%)88.8%

Safa: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · FK Kapaz: the bet landed in 9 of 10 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · on half-time scores · Safa: only games against sides at FK Kapaz's level · FK Kapaz: only games against sides at Safa's level

Left off the list: FK Kapaz or Under 2.5 Goals (the numbers (73%) and the records (95%) are 22 points apart, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.6%

Safa goals →

FK Kapaz goals ↓

0-09%

1-010%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-19%

1-114%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.8%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-40.7%

1-40.9%

2-40.6%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

SAFAWLLWLLLLLL0.60 PPG

FK KAPAZWLLLWLWDWD1.40 PPG

THE NUMBERS

SAFA HOMExFK KAPAZ AWAY

0.60SCORED A GAME0.801.70CONCEDED A GAME1.1020%CLEAN SHEETS40%2.71CORNERS A GAME1.801.86CARDS A GAME1.80

TRENDS

Safa have scored in 50% of their games.

FK Kapaz have scored in 70% of their games.

Safa kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

FK Kapaz kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards