Match details. China League 2, Relegation Group - 28. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is played over two legs.
Form. Guangdong Mingtu have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W D D W. In this competition Guangdong Mingtu have gone D W D D W L. Changchun Xidu have won four, drawn four and lost two of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D D W. In this competition Changchun Xidu have gone W W D D W W.
The numbers. Guangdong Mingtu score 1.4 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. Guangdong Mingtu average 4.5 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Changchun Xidu score 1.2 and concede one a game over their last ten, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Changchun Xidu average 3.1 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 18 Sep 2026, it finished Guangdong Mingtu 0-0 Changchun Xidu.
The read. A draw. A tight game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 35%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Guangdong Mingtu or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Changchun Xidu or Under 2.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Guangdong Mingtu 0-0 Changchun Xidu (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).