Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC vs Ningbo Professional FC
Match details. China League 1. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 12:30 Lagos time.
Form. Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC have won seven, drawn two and lost one of their last ten, 2.3 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W D. Ningbo Professional FC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D D L L L.
The numbers. Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC score 1.3 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with five clean sheets and three games without a goal. Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC average 3.0 corners and 1.6 cards a game. Ningbo Professional FC score none and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and five games without a goal. Ningbo Professional FC average 4.2 corners and 1.6 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 44% against the records' 70%.
The read. No firm call: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC are the better side, but not at this price. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC the likelier winners; Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 22%.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.19, 76% on the records (Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC: under 3.5 goals in 9 of 10; Ningbo Professional FC: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away). Backup: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC or Under 2.5 Goals at 1.13. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Shijiazhuang Gongfu FC 1-1 Ningbo Professional FC (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).