Persipura Jayapura vs Persiba Balikpapan
Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 7. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 09:30 Lagos time. It is played at Mandala Stadium, Jayapura.
Form. Persipura Jayapura have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W D D. Persiba Balikpapan have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L L L L.
The numbers. Persipura Jayapura score 1.2 and concede one a game in their last six at home, with two clean sheets and two games without a goal. Persipura Jayapura average 13.8 shots (4.5 on target), 3.7 corners and 1.8 cards a game. Persiba Balikpapan score 1.3 and concede 2.2 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Persiba Balikpapan average 4.9 shots (1.9 on target), 4.4 corners and 2.1 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 87% against the records' 61%.
The read. No firm call: Persipura Jayapura are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make Persipura Jayapura the likelier winners; Persipura Jayapura are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Persipura Jayapura. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 51%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Persipura Jayapura Over 1.5 Goals (Persipura Jayapura's own games don't back it (2 of 6)); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Persipura Jayapura 2-1 Persiba Balikpapan (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).