Match details. Premier League. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 11:00 Lagos time.
Form. FC Polissya Zhytomyr have won eight, drawn one and lost one of their last ten, 2.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. FC Obolon Kyiv have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L D.
The numbers. FC Polissya Zhytomyr score 2.3 and concede 0.7 a game in their last seven at home, with three clean sheets. FC Polissya Zhytomyr average 13.0 shots (5.0 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.0 cards a game. FC Obolon Kyiv score 0.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last eight away, with three clean sheets and six games without a goal. FC Obolon Kyiv average 5.0 shots (2.0 on target), 2.9 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Where it pulls both ways. The prices and the records disagree: the odds board makes it 83% against the records' 62%.
The read. No firm call: FC Polissya Zhytomyr are the better side, but not at this price. An open game. Their goals for and against make FC Polissya Zhytomyr the likelier winners; FC Polissya Zhytomyr are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour FC Polissya Zhytomyr. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 53%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: FC Polissya Zhytomyr or Under 2.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: FC Polissya Zhytomyr 3-0 FC Obolon Kyiv (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).