Match details. League One, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Tue 27 Oct, 20:45 Lagos time. It is played at King Power Stadium, Leicester.
What's at stake. Leicester are 13th on 15 points after 11 games, level on points with Stevenage, level on points with Wycombe. A win would take them above Stevenage. Wigan Athletic are 24th on 7 points after 11 games, 1 point behind Barnsley. A win would take them above Barnsley.
Form. Leicester have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W W L L. Wigan Athletic have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L W L W.
The numbers. Leicester score 2.2 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five at home, with one clean sheet. Leicester average 15.5 shots (6.1 on target), 6.6 corners and 1.9 cards a game, with 64% of the ball. Wigan Athletic score 0.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Wigan Athletic average 10.8 shots (2.5 on target), 5.1 corners and 3.5 cards a game, with 50% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Leicester have won two, drawn one and lost none. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 4 Jan 2020, it finished Leicester 2-0 Wigan Athletic: Leicester had 14 shots to 3, 62% of the ball, one yellow card.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to an open game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 55%; two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The read. Leicester to win. Their goals for and against make Leicester the likelier winners; Leicester are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Leicester; the meetings favour Leicester.
The bets. Best bet: Leicester or Draw at 1.11, 85% on the records (Leicester unbeaten in 5 of 8; Wigan Athletic failed to win 5 of 5 away). Backup: Under 5.5 Goals at 1.09. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Leave: Wigan Athletic Under 1.5 goals (Leicester's own games don't back it (4 of 8)). Predicted score: Leicester 2-0 Wigan Athletic (11% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).