Match details. Premier League, Regular Season - 4. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 13:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Tripoli AC are 2nd on 7 points after 3 games, 2 points behind Jwaaya FC, level on points with Tadamon Sour. A win would take them above Jwaaya FC. AL Tadamon Sour are 3rd on 7 points after 3 games, level on points with Tripoli SC, 1 point clear of Safa. A win would take them above Tripoli SC.
Form. Tripoli AC have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W D W W. AL Tadamon Sour have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W L.
The numbers. Tripoli AC score 1.3 and concede 0.5 a game over their last ten, with seven clean sheets and two games without a goal. Tripoli AC average 12.3 shots (4.3 on target), 3.3 corners and 1.0 cards a game. AL Tadamon Sour score 1.7 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with two clean sheets. AL Tadamon Sour average 10.9 shots (5.7 on target), 3.6 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last nine meetings Tripoli AC have won three, drawn three and lost three. Three of the nine went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in three. In the last four, Tripoli AC won two, one was drawn and AL Tadamon Sour won one. The last time they met, on 9 May 2024, it finished Tripoli AC 1-0 AL Tadamon Sour.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 45%. Six of the last nine meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.36, 70% on the records (Tripoli AC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7; AL Tadamon Sour: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 7). Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Tripoli AC or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); AL Tadamon Sour or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call). Predicted score: Tripoli AC 1-1 AL Tadamon Sour (14% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).