CECAE

19:00Sat 24 Oct

CSI

CA Excursionistas vs CS Italiano

CLASS E

THE READ

Match details. Primera B, Regular Season - 41. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time. It is played at Excursionistas Stadium, Buenos Aires.

Form. CA Excursionistas have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W. CS Italiano have won five, drawn two and lost three of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W W W D.

The numbers. CA Excursionistas score 2.8 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets. CA Excursionistas average 5.1 corners and 2.3 cards a game. CS Italiano score 1.2 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and two games without a goal. CS Italiano average 4.0 corners and 2.4 cards a game.

Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 57%.

The case against. CS Italiano's record still gives them 32% to win.

The read. CA Excursionistas to win. Their goals for and against make CA Excursionistas the likelier winners; both teams' records favour CA Excursionistas.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: CA Excursionistas 1-0 CS Italiano (11% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CAE 5 of 5 (100%) · CSI 5 of 5 (100%)94.7%

CA Excursionistas: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · CS Italiano: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 100% · CA Excursionistas: only games against sides at CS Italiano's level · CS Italiano: only games against sides at CA Excursionistas's level

Under 3.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.24

CAE 4 of 5 (80%) · CSI 5 of 5 (100%)72.4%

CA Excursionistas: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · CS Italiano: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 away · both last 10: 90% · CA Excursionistas: only games against sides at CS Italiano's level · CS Italiano: only games against sides at CA Excursionistas's level

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–0 10.9%

CA Excursionistas goals →

CS Italiano goals ↓

0-08%

1-011%

2-010%

3-05%

4-02%

5-00.7%

0-16%

1-112%

2-110%

3-15%

4-12%

5-10.7%

0-24%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.4%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-30.9%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call).

FORM · LAST 10

CA EXCURSIONISTASDWLWWWWLWW2.20 PPG

CS ITALIANODWWWDLWWLL1.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CA EXCURSIONISTAS HOMExCS ITALIANO AWAY

1.60SCORED A GAME1.180.78CONCEDED A GAME0.7240%BOTH SCORED30%40%CLEAN SHEETS40%5.10CORNERS A GAME3.952.31CARDS A GAME2.43

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.08POINTS A GAME1.75+1.00GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.50+3.9SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST+0.42.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.613LEAGUE GAMES8

CA Excursionistas: the quality side - better form (last 5).

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

85%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

48%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

100%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

CA EXCURSIONISTAS OR DRAW

66%

NO · 80/85

CS ITALIANO OR DRAW

43%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (13 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CA EXCURSIONISTASxCS ITALIANO

5GAMES52.60SCORED A GAME0.800.40CONCEDED A GAME0.403.0GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.2100%OVER 1.5 GOALS40%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%40%BOTH SCORE20%4.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.89.0CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES9.2

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

CA Excursionistas have scored in 80% of their games.

CS Italiano have scored in 50% of their games.

CA Excursionistas kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

CS Italiano kept a clean sheet in 40% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards