OIORG

19:00Thu 29 Oct

MJA

Orgryte IS vs Mjallby AIF

CLASS B

Pick card Full analysis Share

THE READ

Match details. Allsvenskan. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 19:00 Lagos time.

Form. Orgryte IS have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L L L. Mjallby AIF have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L W D.

The numbers. Orgryte IS score 1.2 and concede two a game over their last ten, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Orgryte IS average 3.9 corners and 1.4 cards a game. Mjallby AIF score 0.6 and concede one a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Mjallby AIF average 4.7 corners and 2.1 cards a game.

The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game. Not everything agrees on goals: their records put over 2.5 goals at 48%.

The read. A draw. An open game. Little separates them, and both sides draw often.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Mjallby AIF or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Orgryte IS 2-2 Mjallby AIF (5% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.23

ORG 8 of 9 (89%) · MJA 6 of 7 (86%)71.5%

Orgryte IS: over 1.5 goals in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Mjallby AIF: over 1.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 87% · Orgryte IS: only games against sides at Mjallby AIF's level · Mjallby AIF: only games against sides at Orgryte IS's level

ORGRYTE IS GOALS

Orgryte IS Over 0.5 goalsLEANIN CODES

1.36

ORG 7 of 9 (78%) · MJA 7 of 7 (100%)63.3%

Orgryte IS scored in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Mjallby AIF conceded in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 89% · Orgryte IS: only games against sides at Mjallby AIF's level · Mjallby AIF: only games against sides at Orgryte IS's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Mjallby AIF or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Orgryte IS or Over 1.5 Goals (the call is a draw)

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–2 5.3%

Orgryte IS goals →

Mjallby AIF goals ↓

0-08%

1-08%

2-06%

3-02%

4-00.7%

5-00.2%

0-19%

1-113%

2-18%

3-13%

4-11%

5-10.3%

0-27%

1-29%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.7%

5-20.2%

0-33%

1-34%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.3%

5-30.1%

0-41%

1-41%

2-40.8%

3-40.4%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.3%

1-50.4%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 10

ORGRYTE ISDWLLLDLDDL0.70 PPG

MJALLBY AIFLDLWDLLDDL0.70 PPG

THE NUMBERS

ORGRYTE IS HOMExMJALLBY AIF AWAY

1.24SCORED A GAME1.122.24CONCEDED A GAME1.680%CLEAN SHEETS10%3.92CORNERS A GAME4.681.36CARDS A GAME2.12

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

0.83POINTS A GAME0.54-0.50GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-1.08-3.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.60.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.46LEAGUE GAMES13

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

82%

OKAY · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

58%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 85/90

ORGRYTE IS OR DRAW

84%

OKAY · 80/85

MJALLBY AIF OR DRAW

52%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 13 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

ORGRYTE ISxMJALLBY AIF

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME0.402.00CONCEDED A GAME1.603.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES2.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%80%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%60%BOTH SCORE40%2.4CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.610.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES10.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Orgryte IS have scored in 80% of their games.

Mjallby AIF have scored in 60% of their games.

Orgryte IS kept a clean sheet in 0% of their games.

Mjallby AIF kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards