Match details. Allsvenskan, Regular Season - 26. Kick-off is Thu 29 Oct, 18:30 Lagos time. It is played at 3Arena, Stockholm. The referee is Glenn Nyberg.
What's at stake. Hammarby IF are 2nd on 49 points after 25 games, 6 points behind Sirius, level on points with Djurgardens IF. IK Sirius are 1st on 55 points after 25 games, 6 points clear of Hammarby FF.
Team news. Hammarby IF are without A. Boudri (inactive), B. Hedlof (hip injury), A. Boudri (inactive), B. Hedlof (hip injury). IK Sirius are without O. Liimatta (injury), O. Liimatta (injury).
Form. Hammarby IF have won seven, drawn one and lost two of their last ten, 2.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L W W. In this competition Hammarby IF have gone W W L W W D. IK Sirius have won four, drawn two and lost four of their last ten, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D W W W. In this competition IK Sirius have gone L D W W W W.
The numbers. Hammarby IF score 1.9 and concede 0.6 a game over their last ten, with six clean sheets. Hammarby IF average 22.8 shots (7.9 on target), 7.4 corners and 1.6 cards a game, with 65% of the ball. IK Sirius score 1.4 and concede 1.5 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. IK Sirius average 12.9 shots (3.9 on target), 6.2 corners and 1.2 cards a game, with 48% of the ball.
Head to head. In the last seven meetings Hammarby IF have won four, drawn one and lost two. Six of the seven went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, Hammarby IF won two and IK Sirius won two. The last time they met, on 13 Apr 2026, it finished Hammarby IF 0-2 IK Sirius: Hammarby IF had 16 shots to 11, 70% of the ball, two yellow cards.
Where it pulls both ways. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%; six of the last seven meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. IK Sirius's record still gives them 31% to win. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. Hammarby IF to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Hammarby IF the likelier winners; both teams' records favour Hammarby IF. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 58%. Six of the last seven meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Hammarby IF 1UP at 1.25, 72% on the records (Hammarby IF scored first 4 of last 5, led in 4; led in 8 of 10). The safer one: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.15 (75%). Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Hammarby IF 2-1 IK Sirius (10% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).