Match details. Liga de Ascenso. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 02:00 Lagos time.
Form. CD Marte Soyapango have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L D. Csd Vendaval have won one, drawn two and lost seven of their last ten, 0.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L D L D L.
The numbers. CD Marte Soyapango score 1.7 and concede 1.2 a game over their last ten, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. CD Marte Soyapango average 4.8 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Csd Vendaval score 0.5 and concede 2.5 a game in their last six away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Csd Vendaval average 3.6 corners and 2.6 cards a game.
The case against. Csd Vendaval's record still gives them 22% to win.
The read. CD Marte Soyapango to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make CD Marte Soyapango the likelier winners; CD Marte Soyapango are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour CD Marte Soyapango. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 66%.
The bets. Best bet: CD Marte Soyapango or Draw at 1.10, rated 78% (CD Marte Soyapango unbeaten in 6 of 10; Csd Vendaval failed to win 6 of 6 away). Predicted score: CD Marte Soyapango 2-1 Csd Vendaval (10% chance).
The agreed story. CD Marte Soyapango or the draw, an open game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).