THE READ
Match details. CAF Confederations Cup, 2nd Preliminary Round. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 17:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. It is one game, with penalties if it is level.
Form. AS Real Bamako have won six, drawn two and lost two of their last ten, 2.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W W W. ES Zarzis have won four, drawn none and lost six of their last ten, 1.2 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W L L L.
The numbers. AS Real Bamako score 1.4 and concede 0.2 a game in their last five at home, with four clean sheets and two games without a goal. AS Real Bamako average 9.5 shots (4.5 on target), 4.7 corners and 1.2 cards a game. ES Zarzis score 0.4 and concede one a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. ES Zarzis average 3.8 shots (0.6 on target), 1.8 corners and 1.4 cards a game.
Head to head. The last time they met, on 17 Oct 2026, it finished AS Real Bamako 3-1 ES Zarzis.
The case against. A knockout game (2nd Preliminary Round) with penalties if level, and AS Real Bamako are not clearly stronger. ES Zarzis's record still gives them 34% to win.
The read. AS Real Bamako or the draw. A tight game. Their goals for and against make AS Real Bamako the likelier winners; AS Real Bamako are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour AS Real Bamako. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 34%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: AS Real Bamako to Win (the signs point different ways); 1X2 - 2UP: AS Real Bamako (the signs point different ways); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: AS Real Bamako 1-0 ES Zarzis (18% chance).
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
AS Real Bamako or Under 2.5 GoalsTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASR 7 of 7 (100%) · ESZ 5 of 5 (100%)100%
AS Real Bamako: the bet landed in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · ES Zarzis: the bet landed in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · AS Real Bamako: only games against sides at ES Zarzis's level · ES Zarzis: only games against sides at AS Real Bamako's level · the call is AS Real Bamako or the draw: a knockout game (2nd Preliminary Round) with penalties if level, and AS Real Bamako ar
AS Real Bamako (Draw No Bet)PAGE ONLY
1.23
ASR 4 of 6 (67%) · ESZ 3 of 5 (60%)72.5%
AS Real Bamako won 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · ES Zarzis lost 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 63% · AS Real Bamako: only games against sides at ES Zarzis's level · ES Zarzis: only games against sides at AS Real Bamako's level · won 7, refunded 2, lost 1
AS Real Bamako or Draw (1UP)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.18
ASR 4 of 5 (80%) · ESZ 4 of 6 (67%)68.9%
AS Real Bamako scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ES Zarzis trailed or failed to win in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · AS Real Bamako: only games against sides at ES Zarzis's level · ES Zarzis: only games against sides at AS Real Bamako's level
AS Real Bamako 1UPTAKEN DOWNPAGE ONLY
1.52
ASR 3 of 5 (60%) · ESZ 3 of 6 (50%)56.7%
AS Real Bamako scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ES Zarzis trailed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · AS Real Bamako: only games against sides at ES Zarzis's level · ES Zarzis: only games against sides at AS Real Bamako's level · the call is AS Real Bamako or the draw: a knockout game (2nd Preliminary Round) with penalties if level, and AS Real Bamako are no
GOALS
no price yet
ASR 7 of 7 (100%) · ESZ 5 of 5 (100%)100%
AS Real Bamako: under 4.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · ES Zarzis: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · AS Real Bamako: only games against sides at ES Zarzis's level · ES Zarzis: only games against sides at AS Real Bamako's level
no price yet
ASR 7 of 7 (100%) · ESZ 5 of 5 (100%)100%
AS Real Bamako: under 5.5 goals in 7 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · ES Zarzis: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · AS Real Bamako: only games against sides at ES Zarzis's level · ES Zarzis: only games against sides at AS Real Bamako's level
1.23
ASR 6 of 7 (86%) · ESZ 5 of 5 (100%)93.8%
AS Real Bamako: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · ES Zarzis: under 3.5 goals in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · AS Real Bamako: only games against sides at ES Zarzis's level · ES Zarzis: only games against sides at AS Real Bamako's level
1.63
ASR 5 of 7 (71%) · ESZ 3 of 5 (60%)70%
AS Real Bamako: under 2.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · ES Zarzis: under 2.5 goals in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · AS Real Bamako: only games against sides at ES Zarzis's level · ES Zarzis: only games against sides at AS Real Bamako's level
AS REAL BAMAKO GOALS
AS Real Bamako Over 0.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
ASR 4 of 7 (57%) · ESZ 3 of 5 (60%)57.5%
AS Real Bamako scored in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · ES Zarzis conceded in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 59% · AS Real Bamako: only games against sides at ES Zarzis's level · ES Zarzis: only games against sides at AS Real Bamako's level
CARDS
no price yet
ASR 6 of 6 (100%) · ESZ 3 of 5 (60%)80%
AS Real Bamako's games: over 1.5 cards in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · ES Zarzis's games: over 1.5 cards in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 80% · AS Real Bamako: only games against sides at ES Zarzis's level
Left off the list: AS Real Bamako to Win (the numbers (49%) and the records (59%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); 1X2 - 2UP: AS Real Bamako (the numbers (50%) and the records (57%) are on opposite sides, and nothing settles it); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
TRENDS
AS Real Bamako have scored in 60% of their games.
ES Zarzis have scored in 70% of their games.
AS Real Bamako kept a clean sheet in 50% of their games.
ES Zarzis kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.