INTERNATIONAL CLUBS - CAF CONFEDERATIONS CUP

AFAZA

14:00Sat 24 Oct

ZED

Azam FC vs Zed FC

CLASS D

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THE READ

Match details. CAF Confederations Cup. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 14:00 Lagos time.

Form. Azam FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D W L W W. Zed FC have won five, drawn three and lost two of their last ten, 1.8 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D D W W.

The numbers. Azam FC score 1.4 and concede 0.9 a game over their last ten, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Azam FC average 9.8 shots (4.7 on target), 5.3 corners and 2.3 cards a game. Zed FC score 1.4 and concede 0.8 a game in their last five away, with two clean sheets. Zed FC average 10.2 shots (4.1 on target), 5.9 corners and 2.3 cards a game.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 44%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Azam FC 1-1 Zed FC (14% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AZA 8 of 8 (100%) · ZED 6 of 6 (100%)100%

Azam FC: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Zed FC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Azam FC: only games against sides at Zed FC's level · Zed FC: only games against sides at Azam FC's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AZA 8 of 8 (100%) · ZED 5 of 6 (83%)91.7%

Azam FC: under 4.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Zed FC: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 92% · Azam FC: only games against sides at Zed FC's level · Zed FC: only games against sides at Azam FC's level

AZAM FC GOALS

Azam FC Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AZA 7 of 8 (88%) · ZED 5 of 6 (83%)85.4%

Azam FC scored in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Zed FC conceded in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Azam FC: only games against sides at Zed FC's level · Zed FC: only games against sides at Azam FC's level

CARDS

Over 2.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

AZA 6 of 7 (86%) · ZED 5 of 6 (83%)84.5%

Azam FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Zed FC's games: over 2.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 85% · Azam FC: only games against sides at Zed FC's level · Zed FC: only games against sides at Azam FC's level

Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 14.1%

Azam FC goals →

Zed FC goals ↓

0-011%

1-011%

2-07%

3-03%

4-00.8%

5-00.2%

0-111%

1-114%

2-18%

3-13%

4-10.9%

5-10.2%

0-26%

1-27%

2-24%

3-22%

4-20.5%

5-20.1%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-30.6%

4-30.2%

5-30.0%

0-40.7%

1-40.8%

2-40.4%

3-40.2%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.2%

2-50.1%

3-50.0%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

AZAM FCLDWWDWWLWD1.80 PPG

ZED FCLWWLDWWDDW1.80 PPG

THE NUMBERS

AZAM FC HOMExZED FC AWAY

1.40SCORED A GAME1.700.90CONCEDED A GAME1.0030%CLEAN SHEETS30%5.33CORNERS A GAME5.892.33CARDS A GAME2.33

THE BANK

THE QUALITY READ

2.12POINTS A GAME1.33+0.75GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.17–SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.42.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.48LEAGUE GAMES6

Azam FC: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

94%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

44%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

96%

VERY GOOD · 85/90

AZAM FC OR DRAW

84%

OKAY · 80/85

ZED FC OR DRAW

46%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

AZAM FCxZED FC

5GAMES51.60SCORED A GAME1.400.80CONCEDED A GAME1.602.4GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.0100%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%20%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%20%BOTH SCORE80%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES3.4–CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES8.6

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

TRENDS

Azam FC have scored in 80% of their games.

Zed FC have scored in 90% of their games.

Azam FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

Zed FC kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetscornerscards