Match details. Liga Primera Premier, Regular Season - 9. Kick-off is Sat 24 Oct, 01:00 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Chapulineros de Oaxaca are 12th on 8 points after 7 games, level on points with Deportiva Venados, 1 point clear of Lobos ULMX. A win would take them above Deportiva Venados. Tritones Vallarta MFC are 18th on 2 points after 6 games, 1 point behind Tapachula. A win would take them above Tapachula.
Form. Chapulineros de Oaxaca have won two, drawn four and lost four of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W L D D. Tritones Vallarta MFC have won one, drawn four and lost five of their last ten, 0.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L L D L D.
The numbers. Chapulineros de Oaxaca score 0.8 and concede 1.5 a game in their last six at home, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. Chapulineros de Oaxaca average 12.2 shots (4.8 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.0 cards a game. Tritones Vallarta MFC score 0.5 and concede 1.2 a game in their last six away, with no clean sheets and three games without a goal. Tritones Vallarta MFC average 3.6 shots (0.8 on target), 4.0 corners and 2.2 cards a game.
The case against. Tritones Vallarta MFC's record still gives them 21% to win.
The read. Chapulineros de Oaxaca to win. A tight game. Their goals for and against make Chapulineros de Oaxaca the likelier winners; Chapulineros de Oaxaca are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Chapulineros de Oaxaca. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 37%.
The bets. Best bet: Chapulineros de Oaxaca or Draw at 1.17, rated 74% (Chapulineros de Oaxaca unbeaten in 4 of 7; Tritones Vallarta MFC failed to win 6 of 6). Backup: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.45. It often rescues the bet, but it is no guarantee. Predicted score: Chapulineros de Oaxaca 1-0 Tritones Vallarta MFC (11% chance).
The agreed story. Chapulineros de Oaxaca or the draw, a tight game.
The league run. Chapulineros de Oaxaca: coming out of a defeat with two wins (W W L D D). Tritones Vallarta MFC: lost their last two league games (L L D L D).
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
PICKSONE LIST
RESULT
Chapulineros de Oaxaca or Draw (1UP)PAGE ONLY
no price yet
CHA 4 of 5 (80%) · TRI 4 of 6 (67%)83.2%
Chapulineros de Oaxaca scored first 3 of last 5, led or was unbeaten in 4 · led or was unbeaten in 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tritones Vallarta MFC trailed or failed to win in 5 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: only games against sides at Tritones Vallarta MFC's level
Chapulineros de Oaxaca or Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CHA 5 of 7 (71%) · TRI 6 of 6 (100%)80.9%
Chapulineros de Oaxaca: the bet landed in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tritones Vallarta MFC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: only games against sides at Tritones Vallarta MFC's level · Tritones Vallarta MFC: only games against sides at Chapulineros de Oaxaca's level
Double Chance: Chapulineros de Oaxaca or DrawMAININ CODES
1.24
CHA 4 of 7 (57%) · TRI 6 of 6 (100%)76.3%
Chapulineros de Oaxaca unbeaten in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tritones Vallarta MFC failed to win 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: only games against sides at Tritones Vallarta MFC's level · Tritones Vallarta MFC: only games against sides at Chapulineros de Oaxaca's level
Chapulineros de Oaxaca (Draw No Bet)LEANPAGE ONLY
1.26
CHA 2 of 5 (40%) · TRI 5 of 6 (83%)64.9%
Chapulineros de Oaxaca won 2 of 5 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · Tritones Vallarta MFC lost 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 62% · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: only games against sides at Tritones Vallarta MFC's level · won 5, refunded 4, lost 3
Chapulineros de Oaxaca 1UPLEANPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CHA 3 of 5 (60%) · TRI 3 of 6 (50%)38.7%
Chapulineros de Oaxaca scored first 3 of last 5, led in 3 · led in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · Tritones Vallarta MFC trailed in 3 of 5 (last 10, all venues) · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: only games against sides at Tritones Vallarta MFC's level
GOALS
Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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CHA 6 of 7 (86%) · TRI 6 of 6 (100%)97%
Chapulineros de Oaxaca: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tritones Vallarta MFC: under 5.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: only games against sides at Tritones Vallarta MFC's level · Tritones Vallarta MFC: only games against sides at Chapulineros de Oaxaca's level
Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
no price yet
CHA 5 of 7 (71%) · TRI 6 of 6 (100%)92.6%
Chapulineros de Oaxaca: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tritones Vallarta MFC: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: only games against sides at Tritones Vallarta MFC's level · Tritones Vallarta MFC: only games against sides at Chapulineros de Oaxaca's level
Under 3.5 GoalsBACKUPIN CODES
1.35
CHA 4 of 7 (57%) · TRI 6 of 6 (100%)76.7%
Chapulineros de Oaxaca: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tritones Vallarta MFC: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 79% · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: only games against sides at Tritones Vallarta MFC's level · Tritones Vallarta MFC: only games against sides at Chapulineros de Oaxaca's level
CHAPULINEROS DE OAXACA GOALS
Chapulineros de Oaxaca Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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CHA 6 of 7 (86%) · TRI 6 of 6 (100%)59.4%
Chapulineros de Oaxaca scored in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tritones Vallarta MFC conceded in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: only games against sides at Tritones Vallarta MFC's level · Tritones Vallarta MFC: only games against sides at Chapulineros de Oaxaca's level
HALVES
1st Half Under 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY
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CHA 6 of 7 (86%) · TRI 6 of 6 (100%)94.9%
Chapulineros de Oaxaca: the bet landed in 6 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tritones Vallarta MFC: the bet landed in 6 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 93% · on half-time scores · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: only games against sides at Tritones Vallarta MFC's level · Tritones Vallarta MFC: only games against sides at Chapulineros de Oaxaca's level
Under 1.5 first-half goalsLEANPAGE ONLY
1.51
CHA 4 of 7 (57%) · TRI 3 of 6 (50%)55.6%
Chapulineros de Oaxaca: the bet landed in 4 of 7 (last 10, all venues) · Tritones Vallarta MFC: the bet landed in 3 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 54% · on half-time scores · Chapulineros de Oaxaca: only games against sides at Tritones Vallarta MFC's level · Tritones Vallarta MFC: only games against sides at Chapulineros de Oaxaca's level
Left off the list: Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))
SCORELINES
Predicted score
Predicted score 1–010.9%
Chapulineros de Oaxaca goals →
Tritones Vallarta MFC goals ↓
0-09%
1-011%
2-09%
3-04%
4-02%
5-00.5%
0-18%
1-113%
2-19%
3-15%
4-12%
5-10.5%
0-24%
1-27%
2-25%
3-22%
4-20.9%
5-20.3%
0-32%
1-32%
2-32%
3-30.9%
4-30.3%
5-30.1%
0-40.4%
1-40.6%
2-40.5%
3-40.2%
4-40.1%
5-40.0%
0-50.1%
1-50.1%
2-50.1%
3-50.0%
4-50.0%
5-50.0%
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).
FORM · LAST 10
CHAPULINEROS DE OAXACALDDLLDDLWW1.00 PPG
TRITONES VALLARTA MFCWDDLLDLDLL0.70 PPG
THE NUMBERS
CHAPULINEROS DE OAXACA HOMExTRITONES VALLARTA MFC AWAY
1.00SCORED A GAME0.601.70CONCEDED A GAME1.0010%CLEAN SHEETS10%29%FAILED TO SCORE50%3.00CORNERS A GAME4.002.00CARDS A GAME2.20
THE BANK
THE QUALITY READ
1.33POINTS A GAME0.33-0.17GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.67-1.0SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-6.21.6LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.46LEAGUE GAMES6
Chapulineros de Oaxaca: the quality side - more points a game, more shots than it allows, better form (last 5).
CHAPULINEROS DE OAXACA 2:0 HANDICAP
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389 OF 413
PRICE NOT KEPT
Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.
THE BANK'S READ
OVER 1.5 GOALS
52%
NO · 80/83
OVER 2.5 GOALS
30%
NO · 65/78
UNDER 4.5 GOALS
94%
VERY GOOD · 85/90
CHAPULINEROS DE OAXACA OR DRAW
78%
NO · 80/85
TRITONES VALLARTA MFC OR DRAW
50%
NO · 80/85
Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (6 and 6 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.
CHAPULINEROS DE OAXACAxTRITONES VALLARTA MFC
5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME0.601.40CONCEDED A GAME1.202.8GOALS IN THEIR GAMES1.880%OVER 1.5 GOALS60%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS20%80%BOTH SCORE60%–CARDS IN THEIR GAMES––CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–
Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.
TRENDS
Chapulineros de Oaxaca have scored in 70% of their games.
Tritones Vallarta MFC have scored in 60% of their games.
Chapulineros de Oaxaca kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
Tritones Vallarta MFC kept a clean sheet in 10% of their games.
BUILT FROM
form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetsleague tablecornerscards