MAMER

18:45Sun 25 Oct

CDC

Merida AD vs CD Coria

CLASS D

THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 1 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 18:45 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Romano Jose Fouto. The referee is I. de Santisteban Adame.

What's at stake. Merida AD are 10th on 12 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Ponferradina, level on points with Athletic Club II. A win would take them above Ponferradina. CD Coria are 17th on 8 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Unionistas de Salamanca, level on points with Deportivo La Coruña II. A win would take them above Unionistas de Salamanca.

Form. Merida AD have won four, drawn none and lost four of their last eight, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W W W L L. In this competition Merida AD have gone W W W L L L. CD Coria have won two, drawn two and lost four of their last eight, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L L D D. In this competition CD Coria have gone W L L D D L.

The numbers. Merida AD score 1.9 and concede 1.5 a game over their last eight, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Merida AD average 12.9 shots (5.0 on target), 5.0 corners and 4.0 cards a game. CD Coria score 1.5 and concede two a game over their last eight, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. CD Coria average 7.6 shots (3.1 on target), 3.4 corners and 2.9 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last two meetings Merida AD have won none, drawn one and lost one. None of the two went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in one. The last time they met, on 27 Feb 2022, it finished Merida AD 1-1 CD Coria.

The case against. CD Coria's record still gives them 38% to win.

The read. Merida AD to win. An open game. Their goals for and against make Merida AD the likelier winners; Merida AD are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Merida AD. Their goals for and against point to an open game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 56%.

The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read); Merida AD Over 1.5 goals (CD Coria's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: Merida AD 2-1 CD Coria (10% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

RESULT

Merida AD or Both Teams ScorePAGE ONLY

no price yet

MER 6 of 8 (75%) · CDC 8 of 8 (100%)87.5%

Merida AD: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Coria: the bet landed in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Coria's level · CD Coria: only games against sides at Merida AD's level

Merida AD or Over 1.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MER 6 of 8 (75%) · CDC 8 of 8 (100%)87.5%

Merida AD or Over 2.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MER 6 of 8 (75%) · CDC 7 of 8 (88%)81.3%

Merida AD: the bet landed in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Coria: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Coria's level · CD Coria: only games against sides at Merida AD's level

Merida AD (Draw No Bet)IN CODES

1.30

MER 4 of 8 (50%) · CDC 4 of 6 (67%)73.2%

Merida AD won 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · CD Coria lost 4 of 6 (last 10, all venues) (draws left out) · both last 10: 58% · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Coria's level · CD Coria: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · won 5, refunded 1, lost 2

Merida AD to WinLEANPAGE ONLY

1.70

MER 4 of 8 (50%) · CDC 4 of 8 (50%)55.6%

Merida AD won 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Coria lost 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 50% · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Coria's level · CD Coria: only games against sides at Merida AD's level

GOALS

Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MER 8 of 8 (100%) · CDC 8 of 8 (100%)93.5%

Merida AD: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Coria: over 0.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 100% · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Coria's level · CD Coria: only games against sides at Merida AD's level

Over 1.5 GoalsIN CODES

1.21

MER 5 of 8 (62%) · CDC 7 of 8 (88%)78%

Merida AD: over 1.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Coria: over 1.5 goals in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 75% · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Coria's level · CD Coria: only games against sides at Merida AD's level

Over 2.5 GoalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.72

MER 4 of 8 (50%) · CDC 5 of 8 (62%)53.8%

Merida AD: over 2.5 goals in 4 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Coria: over 2.5 goals in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Coria's level · CD Coria: only games against sides at Merida AD's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.68

MER 3 of 8 (38%) · CDC 6 of 8 (75%)53.9%

Merida AD: both scored in 3 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Coria: both scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 56% · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Coria's level · CD Coria: only games against sides at Merida AD's level

MERIDA AD GOALS

Merida AD Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

MER 6 of 8 (75%) · CDC 8 of 8 (100%)83.7%

Merida AD scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CD Coria conceded in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 88% · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Coria's level · CD Coria: only games against sides at Merida AD's level

CD CORIA GOALS

CD Coria Over 0.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.41

MER 6 of 8 (75%) · CDC 5 of 8 (62%)63.8%

CD Coria scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · Merida AD conceded in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 69% · CD Coria: only games against sides at Merida AD's level · Merida AD: only games against sides at CD Coria's level

Left off the list: Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10)); Merida AD Over 1.5 goals (CD Coria's own games don't back it (4 of 8)); Under 5.5 Goals (no unders on an open read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 2–1 9.9%

Merida AD goals →

CD Coria goals ↓

0-07%

1-010%

2-010%

3-06%

4-03%

5-01.0%

0-15%

1-112%

2-110%

3-16%

4-13%

5-11.0%

0-23%

1-26%

2-25%

3-23%

4-21%

5-20.5%

0-31%

1-32%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.5%

5-30.2%

0-40.3%

1-40.5%

2-40.4%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.1%

1-50.1%

2-50.1%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and an open game).

FORM · LAST 8

MERIDA ADWLLLLWWW1.50 PPG

CD CORIALWLDDLLW1.00 PPG

THE NUMBERS

MERIDA AD HOMExCD CORIA AWAY

1.88SCORED A GAME1.501.50CONCEDED A GAME2.0038%CLEAN SHEETS0%25%FAILED TO SCORE25%5.00CORNERS A GAME3.434.00CARDS A GAME2.86

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

718 OF 767

NO PRICE YET

The Bank expects 4.5+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.50POINTS A GAME0.71+0.38GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME-0.71+1.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-2.81.8LAST 5: POINTS A GAME0.48LEAGUE GAMES7

Merida AD: the quality side - more points a game, a better goal difference, better form (last 5).

MERIDA AD 2:0 HANDICAP

–

389 OF 413

NO PRICE YET

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

76%

NO · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

56%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

54%

NO · 85/90

MERIDA AD OR DRAW

80%

NO · 80/85

CD CORIA OR DRAW

38%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 7 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

MERIDA ADxCD CORIA

5GAMES52.20SCORED A GAME1.001.40CONCEDED A GAME2.003.6GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.080%OVER 1.5 GOALS80%60%OVER 2.5 GOALS40%40%BOTH SCORE60%5.2CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–11.4CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 2

MERIDA AD 0 · 0%DRAW 1CD CORIA 1 · 50%

2021-10-10Merida AD 0 – 1 CD Coria

2022-02-27Merida AD 1 – 1 CD Coria

TRENDS

Merida AD have scored in 80% of their games.

CD Coria have scored in 80% of their games.

Merida AD failed to score in 25% of their games.

CD Coria failed to score in 25% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againsthead to headleague tablecornerscards