Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 2 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 18:45 Lagos time. It is played at Nou Estadi de Tarragona. The referee is A. Rodriguez.
What's at stake. Gimnastic de Tarragona are 12th on 11 points after 8 games, level on points with Antequera, 1 point clear of Algeciras. A win would take them above Antequera. Hercules de Alicante CF are 8th on 13 points after 8 games, level on points with Ibiza, 1 point clear of Real Madrid II. A win would take them above Ibiza.
Form. Gimnastic de Tarragona have won three, drawn two and lost three of their last eight, 1.4 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D L L L. In this competition Gimnastic de Tarragona have gone W D L L L W. Hercules de Alicante CF have won four, drawn one and lost three of their last eight, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: L W D W W. In this competition Hercules de Alicante CF have gone L W D W W W.
The numbers. Gimnastic de Tarragona score 1.4 and concede 1.5 a game over their last eight, with two clean sheets and three games without a goal. Gimnastic de Tarragona average 7.0 shots (3.6 on target), 3.7 corners and 2.9 cards a game. Hercules de Alicante CF score 0.8 and concede 0.9 a game over their last eight, with four clean sheets and three games without a goal. Hercules de Alicante CF average 11.3 shots (4.0 on target), 6.0 corners and 3.7 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last three meetings Gimnastic de Tarragona have won none, drawn two and lost one. One of the three went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in two. The last time they met, on 23 May 2026, it finished Gimnastic de Tarragona 1-1 Hercules de Alicante CF.
The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 42%. Two of the last three meetings went under 2.5.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Hercules de Alicante CF or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Hercules de Alicante CF or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: Gimnastic de Tarragona 1-1 Hercules de Alicante CF (13% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).