CACFA

16:30Sun 25 Oct

REA

CF Algeciras vs Real Madrid Castilla

CLASS D

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THE BETLIVELY · 10-ODDS · 100-ODDS ·…

TOTAL GOALS

Class D

CAv

Under 3.5 Goals

CF Algeciras v Real Madrid Castilla

Spain - Primera… · 16:30

1.30odds

77%book

-4edge

3/3angles

THE READ

Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 2 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 16:30 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Nuevo Mirador, Algeciras. The referee is M. Garcia.

What's at stake. CF Algeciras are 13th on 10 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Gimnastic, 1 point clear of Atlético Madrid II. A win would take them above Gimnastic. Real Madrid Castilla are 9th on 12 points after 8 games, 1 point behind Hércules, level on points with Huesca. A win would take them above Hércules.

Form. CF Algeciras have won three, drawn one and lost six of their last ten, 1.0 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W L W W D. Real Madrid Castilla have won four, drawn three and lost three of their last ten, 1.5 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L D.

The numbers. CF Algeciras score one and concede 1.2 a game in their last five at home, with two clean sheets. CF Algeciras average 9.4 shots (3.8 on target), 4.2 corners and 3.4 cards a game. Real Madrid Castilla score 0.4 and concede 1.2 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet and three games without a goal. Real Madrid Castilla average 11.8 shots (3.8 on target), 6.4 corners and 2.0 cards a game.

Head to head. In the last eight meetings CF Algeciras have won two, drawn two and lost four. Four of the eight went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in five. In the last four, CF Algeciras won two, one was drawn and Real Madrid Castilla won one. The last time they met, on 31 Jan 2025, it finished CF Algeciras 1-4 Real Madrid Castilla.

The read. No side to back. A tight game. Nothing separates them clearly enough to back a side. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 43%.

The bets. Best bet: Under 3.5 Goals at 1.30, 73% on the records (CF Algeciras: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; Real Madrid Castilla: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8). Leave: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read); Real Madrid Castilla or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Real Madrid Castilla or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read). Predicted score: CF Algeciras 1-1 Real Madrid Castilla (13% chance).

PICKSONE LIST

GOALS

Under 5.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CFA 5 of 5 (100%) · REA 8 of 8 (100%)94.8%

CF Algeciras: under 5.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Real Madrid Castilla: under 5.5 goals in 8 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 95% · H2H 6 of 6 · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level

Under 4.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CFA 5 of 5 (100%) · REA 6 of 8 (75%)87.3%

CF Algeciras: under 4.5 goals in 5 of 5 at home · Real Madrid Castilla: under 4.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · H2H 5 of 6 · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level

Under 3.5 GoalsMAININ CODES

1.30

CFA 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 6 of 8 (75%)72.9%

CF Algeciras: under 3.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home · Real Madrid Castilla: under 3.5 goals in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 72% · H2H 5 of 6 · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level

BOTH TEAMS SCORE

Both Teams to Score - YesLEANPAGE ONLY

1.69

CFA 2 of 5 (40%) · REA 5 of 8 (62%)54.2%

CF Algeciras: both scored in 2 of 5 at home · Real Madrid Castilla: both scored in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · H2H 4 of 6 · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level

CF ALGECIRAS GOALS

CF Algeciras Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CFA 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 6 of 8 (75%)74.4%

CF Algeciras scored in 4 of 5 at home · Real Madrid Castilla conceded in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 82% · H2H 5 of 6 · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level

CF Algeciras Under 1.5 goalsLEANPAGE ONLY

1.38

CFA 4 of 5 (80%) · REA 5 of 8 (62%)60.5%

CF Algeciras scored under 1.5 in 4 of 5 at home · Real Madrid Castilla conceded under 1.5 in 5 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 66% · H2H 4 of 6 · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level

REAL MADRID CASTILLA GOALS

Real Madrid Castilla Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CFA 6 of 8 (75%) · REA 3 of 5 (60%)72%

Real Madrid Castilla scored in 6 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · CF Algeciras conceded in 3 of 5 at home · both last 10: 78% · H2H 5 of 6 · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level

HALVES

1st Half Over 0.5 GoalsPAGE ONLY

1.38

CFA 3 of 5 (60%) · REA 7 of 8 (88%)78.6%

CF Algeciras: the bet landed in 3 of 5 at home · Real Madrid Castilla: the bet landed in 7 of 8 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 84% · H2H 5 of 6 · on half-time scores · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level

CORNERS

Over 6.5 CornersPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CFA 7 of 9 (78%) · REA 5 of 6 (83%)80.6%

CF Algeciras's games: over 6.5 corners in 7 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real Madrid Castilla's games: over 6.5 corners in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 81% · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level

CARDS

Over 3.5 CardsPAGE ONLY

no price yet

CFA 8 of 9 (89%) · REA 5 of 6 (83%)86.1%

CF Algeciras's games: over 3.5 cards in 8 of 9 (last 10, all venues) · Real Madrid Castilla's games: over 3.5 cards in 5 of 6 (last 10, all venues) · both last 10: 86% · CF Algeciras: only games against sides at Real Madrid Castilla's level · Real Madrid Castilla: only games against sides at CF Algeciras's level

Left off the list: Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Real Madrid Castilla or Under 2.5 Goals (no result call); Real Madrid Castilla or Over 2.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Real Madrid Castilla 1UP (no result call); Real Madrid Castilla or Draw (1UP) (no result call); Real Madrid Castilla or Over 1.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10)); Over 0.5 Goals (no overs on a tight read (rule 10))

SCORELINES

Predicted score

Predicted score 1–1 13.2%

CF Algeciras goals →

Real Madrid Castilla goals ↓

0-08%

1-09%

2-07%

3-03%

4-01%

5-00.3%

0-18%

1-113%

2-18%

3-14%

4-11%

5-10.4%

0-26%

1-28%

2-25%

3-22%

4-20.8%

5-20.2%

0-32%

1-33%

2-32%

3-31%

4-30.4%

5-30.1%

0-40.8%

1-41%

2-40.7%

3-40.3%

4-40.1%

5-40.0%

0-50.2%

1-50.3%

2-50.2%

3-50.1%

4-50.0%

5-50.0%

Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (a tight game).

FORM · LAST 10

CF ALGECIRASLLLLLDWWLW1.00 PPG

REAL MADRID CASTILLAWLDWLDLWDW1.50 PPG

THE NUMBERS

CF ALGECIRAS HOMExREAL MADRID CASTILLA AWAY

1.20SCORED A GAME1.301.80CONCEDED A GAME1.2020%CLEAN SHEETS30%0%FAILED TO SCORE25%4.22CORNERS A GAME6.383.44CARDS A GAME2.00

THE BANK

THE BANKER MENU

OVER 1.5 CARDS

–

543 OF 573

NO PRICE YET

Both sides' last 5 games point to 5.2+ cards.

Other bets the bookie sells that won 9 times in 10 or more on games like this one, in each of three spells: 20-24 Oct, 25-29 Oct and 30 Oct-2 Nov. The price is low because the bookie expects it too. A bet with no price yet, or one under 1.09, is not in any code.

THE QUALITY READ

1.25POINTS A GAME1.50-0.25GOAL DIFFERENCE A GAME+0.25-1.1SHOTS FOR MINUS AGAINST-0.22.0LAST 5: POINTS A GAME1.68LEAGUE GAMES8

No quality side: neither club is ahead on more of these.

Each club's own league games in the Bank: points, goal difference, shots for and against, the last 5. A side ahead on most of them is the quality side; its bets show what they won on games like this from 6 Oct to 2 Nov.

THE BANK'S READ

OVER 1.5 GOALS

84%

VERY GOOD · 80/83

OVER 2.5 GOALS

51%

NO · 65/78

UNDER 4.5 GOALS

80%

NO · 85/90

CF ALGECIRAS OR DRAW

88%

VERY GOOD · 80/85

REAL MADRID CASTILLA OR DRAW

62%

NO · 80/85

Each line from both sides' own league games this season, set against their league (8 and 8 games). The two numbers after each read are the line's okay and very good marks.

CF ALGECIRASxREAL MADRID CASTILLA

5GAMES51.40SCORED A GAME1.800.80CONCEDED A GAME1.602.2GOALS IN THEIR GAMES3.480%OVER 1.5 GOALS100%40%OVER 2.5 GOALS60%60%BOTH SCORE100%8.0CARDS IN THEIR GAMES–7.8CORNERS IN THEIR GAMES–

Each side's own league games in our bank before this game; "Home v Away" is the home side's home games and the away side's away games.

HEAD TO HEAD · LAST 8

CF ALGECIRAS 2 · 25%DRAW 2REAL MADRID CASTILLA 4 · 50%

5 of 8BOTH TEAMS SCORED

7 of 8OVER 1.5 GOALS

4 of 8OVER 2.5 GOALS

1 of 8OVER 3.5 GOALS

2021-11-14CF Algeciras 0 – 2 Real Madrid Castilla

2022-05-21CF Algeciras 1 – 1 Real Madrid Castilla

2023-01-08CF Algeciras 1 – 2 Real Madrid Castilla

2023-05-27CF Algeciras 0 – 1 Real Madrid Castilla

2023-11-19CF Algeciras 2 – 1 Real Madrid Castilla

2024-02-17CF Algeciras 3 – 0 Real Madrid Castilla

2024-10-27CF Algeciras 1 – 1 Real Madrid Castilla

2025-01-31CF Algeciras 1 – 4 Real Madrid Castilla

TRENDS

CF Algeciras have scored in 90% of their games.

Real Madrid Castilla have scored in 70% of their games.

CF Algeciras kept a clean sheet in 20% of their games.

Real Madrid Castilla kept a clean sheet in 30% of their games.

BUILT FROM

form · last gameshome / awaygoals for & againstclean sheetshead to headleague tablecornerscards