AD Alcorcon vs UD Ibiza
Match details. Primera Federacion, Group 2 - 9. Kick-off is Sun 25 Oct, 12:00 Lagos time. It is played at Estadio Municipal de Santo Domingo. The referee is N. Holgueras Castellanos.
What's at stake. AD Alcorcon are 6th on 13 points after 8 games, 2 points behind Real Jaén, level on points with Ibiza. A win would take them above Real Jaén. UD Ibiza are 7th on 13 points after 8 games, level on points with Alcorcon, level on points with Hércules. A win would take them above Alcorcon.
Form. AD Alcorcon have won four, drawn five and lost one of their last ten, 1.7 points a game. Their last five, newest first: D L W W W. UD Ibiza have won five, drawn one and lost four of their last ten, 1.6 points a game. Their last five, newest first: W D W L L.
The numbers. AD Alcorcon score three and concede 0.6 a game in their last five at home, with three clean sheets. AD Alcorcon average 14.0 shots (7.1 on target), 4.6 corners and 2.1 cards a game. UD Ibiza score 1.6 and concede 1.8 a game in their last five away, with one clean sheet. UD Ibiza average 6.5 shots (2.8 on target), 3.0 corners and 2.8 cards a game.
Head to head. In the last six meetings AD Alcorcon have won none, drawn two and lost four. Four of the six went over 2.5 goals and both teams scored in four. In the last four, two were drawn and UD Ibiza won two. The last time they met, on 29 Mar 2026, it finished AD Alcorcon 2-2 UD Ibiza.
Where it pulls both ways. AD Alcorcon are the form side, but the meetings favour UD Ibiza: in the last six meetings, UD Ibiza won four and two were drawn. On goals, their goals for and against point to a tight game; their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%; four of the last six meetings went over 2.5, and the meetings settle it.
The case against. Not everything agrees on goals: their goals for and against point to a tight game.
The read. No side to back. An open game. Form and the meetings point different ways, so I back neither side. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 65%. Four of the last six meetings went over 2.5.
The bets. Best bet: Over 1.5 Goals at 1.31, 74% on the records (AD Alcorcon: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 at home; UD Ibiza: over 1.5 goals in 4 of 5 away). Leave: AD Alcorcon or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); UD Ibiza or Over 2.5 Goals (no result call); Under 4.5 Goals (no unders on an open read). Predicted score: AD Alcorcon 2-1 UD Ibiza (9% chance).
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (an open game).