Hope FC vs The Bees FC
Match details. Championship, Regular Season - 8. Kick-off is Fri 23 Oct, 14:30 Lagos time.
What's at stake. Hope FC are 9th on 11 points after 7 games, level on points with Gomora United FC, 1 point clear of Leicesterfield. A win would take them above Gomora United FC. The Bees FC are 15th on 3 points after 7 games, level on points with Orbit College, 2 points clear of Venda FC. A win would take them above Orbit College.
Form. Hope FC have won three, drawn two and lost two of their last seven league games, 1.6 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: D D W L W. In this competition Hope FC have gone D D W L W L. The Bees FC have won two, drawn one and lost seven of their last ten league games, 0.7 points a game. Their last five in the league, newest first: L L W L L.
The numbers. Hope FC score 0.7 and concede 0.7 a game over their last seven, with three clean sheets and two games without a goal. Hope FC average 10.5 shots (4.5 on target), 4.2 corners and 1.8 cards a game. The Bees FC score 0.8 and concede two a game in their last five away, with no clean sheets and two games without a goal. The Bees FC average 4.0 corners and 5.0 cards a game.
The read. Hope FC to win. A tight game. Hope FC are the stronger side on form and the table; both teams' records favour Hope FC. Their goals for and against point to a tight game. Their records put over 2.5 goals at 28%.
The bets. No bet yet: nothing I'd back is priced yet. Predicted score: Hope FC 1-0 The Bees FC (14% chance).
The agreed story. Hope FC or the draw, a tight game.
So. A close match: the safest pick that fits.
Every score's chance from both teams' checked games, never cut or rescaled. The lit square is the likeliest score that fits the read (the call and a tight game).